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Home / World

Asian dynamos rival Zuckerberg

Bloomberg
21 Dec, 2010 04:30 PM4 mins to read

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Julian Assange must feel like he was robbed.

Time magazine looked past the suddenly ubiquitous founder of WikiLeaks.org to name Mark Zuckerberg Person of the Year.

The founder of Facebook was the safe choice - honour the internet celebrity connecting people, not riling them.

Assange was relegated to runner-up, as was Afghan President Hamid Karzai and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.

Yet Asia produced more than its fair share of contenders this year. Time hasn't chosen an Asian since Taiwan-born scientist David Ho in 1996, and that was after a 10-year drought following Corazon Aquino's nod in 1986. Here are four Asian options that could easily have supplanted Zuckerberg this year.

KIM JONG UN
Little is known about the twenty-something tipped to lead North Korea when his dad, Kim Jong Il, dies.

Yet the succession drama has gone global in a big way. The timing of the North's deadly attacks on the South this year isn't a coincidence; the Kim Dynasty is in self-preservation mode.

Kim the younger would inherit an impoverished Orwellian state with nuclear weapons and geriatric, reactionary generals who might harbour doubts about a Swiss-educated Michael Jordan fan. At last month's Group of 20 summit in Seoul, I heard more than a few South Korean businessmen refer to Kim as the "nuclear kid".

How that process goes will say much about the future of Asian markets, credit ratings and regional cooperation - including China's relationship with neighbours.

LIU XIAOBO
It's hard to think of an individual that China would rather the world talk less about. Officials in Beijing are beyond enraged that the jailed activist won the Nobel Peace Prize. It was a well-deserved honour and China's over-the-top reaction was surreal and telling.

China is racing ahead. Its economy grew at a 9.6 per cent annualised rate in the third quarter while Europe tries to stave off disaster, American unemployment rises and Japan's living standards slide. China also has done a far more impressive job than rivals like India in reducing poverty. Its political development is lagging far behind, though, and Liu's Nobel put the issue in the spotlight.

On the one hand, it demonstrated China's leverage as almost 20 countries including Egypt and Vietnam avoided this month's Nobel ceremony in Oslo. On the other hand, China's reaction to the whole business suggests the Communist Party has few plans to loosen up on its 1.3 billion people.

AUNG SAN SUU KYI
Never one to mince words, Singapore statesman Lee Kuan Yew seems to have been extra candid in conversations with US diplomats about Myanmar, according to classified documents released by WikiLeaks.

He was quoted as calling Myanmar's junta leaders "stupid" and observing that dealing with them was like "talking to dead people".

Well, Suu Kyi's recent release from seven years of house arrest pumped new life into the chances of political reform in one of Asia's most isolated nations. In her first post-imprisonment speech last month, she said she's willing to work with Myanmar's leadership and fellow democracy advocates.

No one believes Myanmar is about to roll out the welcome mat for free markets, but with Suu Kyi back in action, progress suddenly has a shot.

XIE XUREN, ZHOU XIAOCHUAN AND ZHU CHANGHONG
Xie is China's finance minister, Zhou runs the central bank and Zhu is chief investment officer overseeing the nation's US$2.7 trillion ($3.6 trillion) of currency holdings. At a time when the world economy is reeling, this trio will increasingly hold our attention.

Last week, Portuguese officials could barely contain their glee over Chinese statements of financial support. Jornal de Negocios reported that China was willing to invest €4 billion ($7 billion) to €5 billion in Portuguese government debt in the first quarter of next year. The mere possibility of Chinese support was a tonic for European markets.

Get used to such news involving China. The International Monetary Fund used to be the bailout king. China seems sure to grab that role for developing and developed nations. Remember that when the US cuts taxes or adds stimulus it's effectively borrowing the money from China.

That gives Xie, Zhou and Zhu remarkable leverage over global markets. The next time a Lehman Brothers Holdings is about to collapse, you can bet the troubled firm's executives will ask Beijing for a lifeline.

An argument can be made that Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao was Person-of-the-Year material, along with Zuckerberg and Assange. Wen outmanoeuvred the West again and again - on clean energy, rare-earth metals, currencies, blame for global imbalances, you name it. Yet China's money trio is quickly rising in prominence.

Get ready for next year's mantra: Brother, can you spare some yuan?

- BLOOMBERG

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