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Home / The Country

Computers calculate effects of carbon on crops

10 Jun, 2001 12:56 PM2 mins to read

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By JACQUELINE ROWARTH*

Climate change - are we becoming hotter or colder?

There is no doubt that the release of carbon from fossil fuels has caused a substantial increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide in the air. What is less certain is whether the apparent climate warming and changes in variability have the same cause. Computer projections, and a majority of climate scientists, suggest that they do.

Dr Peter Jamieson, climate change research leader at the Lincoln-based Crop and Food Research Institute, said that in the past there had been a much higher concentration of carbon dioxide.

"The formation of what we know as fossil fuels millions of years ago meant that carbon was not recycled into the atmosphere, and the concentration decreased.

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Returning it to the atmosphere could be considered in the long term to be redressing an accident of nature; in the short term it is presenting us with some interesting challenges."

The major challenge is in production efficiency. Dr Jamieson works in Canterbury, where the weather is extremely variable and where soils are often free-draining and relatively poor in nutrients.

High yields of crops can be obtained only if irrigation and nutrients are applied at the right amount at the right time.

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His research is identifying strategies to help farmers cope with the various scenarios associated with El Nino and La Nina weather patterns.

"Carbon dioxide is an atmospheric fertiliser," said Dr Jamieson.

"That means crops can grow faster than at the beginning of last century, but warmer conditions mean they don't grow for as long. To take advantage of increased atmospheric fertility, we need more soil fertility to overcome the effects of the shorter growth period."

Computer modelling can predict exactly how much irrigation and fertiliser is needed for any combination of crop, season and soil.

The research is aimed at maximising farmer profit and avoiding environmental harm, and the system meant all farmers could perform nearly as well as the best producers.

* Jacqueline Rowarth is president of the New Zealand Institute of Agricultural Science and research director at Unitec.

www.nzherald.co.nz/climate

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

*

Summary: Climate Change 2001

United Nations Environment Program

World Meteorological Organisation

Framework Convention on Climate Change

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