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Home / Sport / Sailing / America's Cup

America's Cup 2021: Phil Robertson - My pick to win the Auld Mug

Phil Robertson
By Phil Robertson
World Championship winner and skipper·NZ Herald·
21 Feb, 2021 04:00 PM3 mins to read

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Luna Rossa celebrate after beating Ineos Team UK in the Prada Cup final. Photo / Brett Phibbs

Luna Rossa celebrate after beating Ineos Team UK in the Prada Cup final. Photo / Brett Phibbs

OPINION:

The Prada Cup is done and dusted so I'll fast forward to the question everyone is asking – are Luna Rossa good enough to beat Team New Zealand in the 36th America's Cup match race?

The thing which has surprised me most about the racing so far is how well the Italian boat and team have developed in Auckland.

I recall seeing them four months ago and they were quite unstable and looking pretty ropey around the course. That has been completely ironed out, and they are now well and truly locked in.

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But have they improved to the point of being able to beat Team New Zealand, the America's Cup defenders?

Luna Rossa celebrate after beating Ineos Team UK in the Prada Cup final. Photo / Brett Phibbs
Luna Rossa celebrate after beating Ineos Team UK in the Prada Cup final. Photo / Brett Phibbs

It's still going to be very tough for the Italians, and my money is firmly on Team New Zealand.

My prediction has always been that TNZ have the fastest boat, and the fastest boat always wins the America's Cup. And nothing has changed there.

Te Rehutai is a well refined boat, and the team have gone even further into the design and development realm in the last two weeks, proving there is still no time for sleep.

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They will obviously be a bit rusty, initially, when it comes to split second decision making in the tight pre-starts.

But TNZ potentially have speed up their sleeves, so a conservative approach to the pre-starts could be a strategy.

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Team New Zealand on the water. Photo / Mike Scott
Team New Zealand on the water. Photo / Mike Scott

A good thing about Team New Zealand is that they are all young, and the younger generation is very adaptable. As the tactics and pre-starts take shape in the best-of-13 series, they will be able to improvise and adapt to meet whatever challenges are thrown at them.

TNZ are in race mode now, they will be fully focused on what lies ahead.

The writing was on the wall for the Brits in the final Prada Cup races because we already knew they weren't the complete package in light airs. It wasn't pretty for the Brits in winds below 12 knots.

The Prada Cup did confirm the Italians will be strong in that sub-12 knot range, and having eight competitive races under the belt - while TNZ could only practice - is another nice piece to their armoury going into the America's Cup.

My prediction, Team New Zealand will have a lick of boat speed over them. The defenders are in a strong position to retain the Cup from what I've seen.

Heading into the Cup racing?

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• Give yourself plenty of time and think about catching a ferry, train or bus to watch the Cup.

• Make sure your AT HOP card is in your pocket. It's the best way to ride.

• Don't forget to scan QR codes with the NZ COVID Tracer app when on public transport and entering the America's Cup Village.

• For more ways to enjoy race day, visit at.govt.nz/americascup.

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