Australia's past four wins over Wales have come by four points or less and Welsh assistant coach Neil Jenkins is confident his side's luck has to turn.
"We have been incredibly close a number of times and for some unknown reason we cannot quite get over the line," Jenkins said. "There was the game in Cardiff where Kurtley Beale scored in the last minute [November, 2012], there were the tests in Melbourne and Sydney [2012] and last year's game was pretty close too, as was the [2011] World Cup game.
Cheika and the Australian squad headed for Cardiff buoyed by a decent showing in an entertaining 40-36 win over the Barbarians at Twickenham last weekend.
The win provided some positive news for Australian rugby following a controversial month and lock Sam Carter said the Wallabies would head to Wales in high spirits.
"There's a lot of things we did well [against the Barbarians] and a lot of things we can work on over the next four weeks," he said.
No8 Scott Higginbotham's future on tour will be decided in Cardiff due to a hamstring injury.
- AAP