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Home / Sport / League

Fantasy NRL: Watch for big leaks and take advantage

By Dr Stats
NZ Herald·
16 Apr, 2014 05:30 PM2 mins to read

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Elijah Taylor could provide big points playing at home against the Titans this week. Photo / Getty Images

Elijah Taylor could provide big points playing at home against the Titans this week. Photo / Getty Images

Statistical trend is one to exploit ... if you've got transfers to burn.

After six rounds of Dream Team Fantasy NRL, some definite trends are emerging in terms of which teams are leaking the most fantasy points a week.

This statistic is an obvious one to exploit for those who have transfers to burn each week.

Last week, the Dragons went into the round allowing some of the most fantasy points per game of any side.

The result was that Will Chambers ($412,000), Ben Roberts ($257,000), Ryan Hinchcliffe ($314,000), Jesse Bromwich ($308,000) and Cameron Smith ($461,000) all posted either season-best or above average fantasy scores for the Storm.

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Up there with the Dragons are the Titans and Sharks as sides that leak serious fantasy points every week.

With that in mind, the squads to investigate for spot starts this coming round are the Roosters, Panthers and Warriors.

James Maloney ($405,000) has been below last year's numbers this year but I expect an upswing in points this weekend.

Backline star Roger Tuivasa-Sheck ($302,000) hasn't scored a try in three rounds but looks likely against the Sharks as does Michael Jennings ($457,000) if you can afford him.

The Panthers host the Titans on Monday night and could provide big points by way of Elijah Taylor ($250,000), Jamal Idris ($289,000) and Josh Mansour ($256,000).

While in Sydney, I would trust only Nathan Friend ($376,000) and Simon Mannering ($270,000) as solid options against the Dragons.

Discover more

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In team news, Robbie Farah is out for up to six weeks after injuring an elbow against the Cowboys. Frank Pritchard is out for at least three months, Akulia Uate won't play against the Broncos, and Newcastle captain Kurt Gidley and prop Kade Snowden have been named but are yet to prove their fitness after being concussed last weekend.

Panthers utility Lewis Brown may miss significant time with a pectoral injury, Antonio Winterstein is out for four weeks and Titans prop Luke Bailey will not play this weekend.

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George Burgess and Ben Te'o have copped one-match suspensions and Ben Matulino has been banned for two matches. Storm centre Will Chambers is also likely to miss at least two matches.

Among notable players returning to action, Jorge Taufua was a late inclusion for Manly last weekend and gained 41 points in his season debut, and Jayson Bukuya returns for the Warriors and has potential for points if he can lock in big minutes for the club every week.

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