So as a proven 2000m mare who loves heavy tracks and the one who got closest to La Crique in the Plate at Matamata last week, Mustang Valley picks herself even before you add premiership-winning jockey Michael McNab to the mix.
If she does win it will complete a domination of the early spring features by four-year-olds in Dark Destroyer (Tarzino Trophy), La Crique ($300,000 Plate) and Imperatriz (Foxbridge Plate).
That feat is all the more remarkable as most of the classic winners from last season — Noverre (retired), The Perfect Pink, Asterix and the Karaka Classic Mile winner Pin Me Up — haven't raced this season.
Add Queensland Derby winner Pinarello, who is racing at Randwick on Saturday, and this four-year-old crop are the new powerbase of New Zealand racing.
Mustang Valley won't have things all her own way and trainer Andrew Forsman says her busy month of racing and travelling is not ideal but she has far more in her favour than her older rivals.
Even if she doesn't win, the four-year-old crop has back-up in Field Of Gold (not perfectly suited by a heavy track) and the big market shortener in Soldier Boy, who is the lowest-rated horse in the field but loves the wet and ran fourth in the New Zealand Derby in March.