Peter Moody says only some sort of "curve ball" could cause the defeat of Black Caviar in the group one William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley tonight.
Rated the world's best sprinter, the unbeaten Black Caviar is out to land her 11th straight win and her fourth successive group onevictory.
She meets her rivals from the Newmarket Handicap (1200m) at Flemington earlier this month much better under the weight-for-age conditions for beating them easily.
Moody said on Wednesday that all of his four acceptors, the others being Hinchinbrook, Master Harry and Panipique, deserved their places.
"But being realistic, on exposed form there is going to have to be a massive turnaround for those horses to defeat her.
"You would think there would have to be some curve ball; something would have to go wrong with her and, hopefully, that's not the case."
Moody said it might be a good thing if there was some rain on the track before tonight after Melbourne's dry spell for the past couple of weeks.
He said the Newmarket effort was "very draining" on Black Caviar.
"She knew she had a run. It took a couple of days for the horse to bounce back, more so than she had previously," Moody said.
She drops 1.5kg from the 58kg she shouldered in the Newmarket and Moody said she had "done super" since that victory.
