Rogerson, one of the legends of New Zealand racing, suggested last season Mascarpone wouldn't be out of place in Australia's glamour sprint, the A$15 million Everest in Sydney, but says if he heads to Australia this spring it will be to Victoria.
"We were hoping to take him and Beauden to Victoria and I had three races targeted there for this horse," said Rogerson.
"But with Covid making it so hard to travel that trip might be in doubt. Unless I can send Michelle Northcott with him he won't be going because he is a horse I'd be very reluctant to send to another trainer.
"Beauden resumes tomorrow and I'd love to take him to the Melbourne Cup but he is a different type of horse and would be easier to travel."
Even if Mascarpone remains in New Zealand this spring he won't be targeting the first Group 1 of the season, the Tarzino Trophy over 1400m at Hastings in two weeks.
"I want to keep him to the sprint trips because he isn't as good past 1200m," says Rogerson.
"And I also want to keep him to left-handed so he will be staying away from Ellerslie for now."
The Foxbridge stunner throws the market for the Tarzino into confusion with Avantage now an easing $3.20 equal favourite alongside Catalyst, who trialled well at Cambridge on Friday and will resume from almost a year off the scene at Hastings.
But Tavi Mac was a big drifter after his shock failure and many of the connections on contenders for the Hawke's Bay Triple Crown will be feeling quietly more confident about their chances of being competitive in their selected legs.