Just last week he carried 62kg to bolt away with the Taupo Cup when he was giving most of his rivals 8kg while in this race last year he carried 59kg, giving away at least 4kg to all his rivals and smashed what would be comparable opposition to that he meets on Saturday.
"He is a big horse who can handle it," says Rogerson. "You saw that last week at Taupo and he loves Awapuni. So I think he can win again."
Rogerson says his team struggled to get Beauden's blood right in the spring which is why he raced below his best in three runs but the patience of owner Joan Egan, who also races Zabeel Classic winner Concert Hall, was a blessing.
"Joan was happy for me to put him aside and give him all the time he needed to get back to his best. It is a huge help when you have owners like that."
If Beauden can defend his Cup title, with Grand Bouquet looking the danger and Le Sablier the bolter, then Rogerson says he will give him his shot at the 3200m of the Wellington Cup in three weeks.
That will determine whether the Auckland Cup in March becomes an option.
"He is a lovely, relaxed horse so I think he will get the distance but if he keeps winning he will get up in the weights and that can be tricky over 3200m."
While Rogerson will be watching Awapuni most closely, he suggests Herald readers back a horse he used to train at Saturday's other domestic thoroughbred meeting at Kumara on the South Island's West Coast.
"I sent that Kapalka (R2, No 1) down to my good mate Pitty [Michael Pitman] and I reckon it will win there on Saturday," says Rogerson.