With the small field and the remote back straight starting point for the 2400m contest, Have Faith In Me won't get a better chance to begin on terms with his rivals and be in a position to launch a mid-race assault.
If he does that and gets in front of Lazarus he can win, if he doesn't punters might do their cash again because Lazarus doesn't look the sort of horse who comes back to his rivals.
So not only will Have Faith In Me's manners determine his winning hopes today but whether he can be backed with any confidence in the Cup.
"He felt a bit flat after his last run but he has bounced back and worked well on Wednesday," says co-trainer Mark Purdon. "This is his chance to settle handier and if he does that he has to be put in the race."
Lazarus has so far looked a near perfect open class newcomer and if he leads or settles handy it will take the best version of Have Faith In Me to beat him. Their cases have been aided by stablemate Smolda being pulled out because of a slightly off blood report which Purdon says is no big deal and he could head to Kaikoura next Monday.
On a beautiful day of racing that feels like the real launch of the harness racing summer, Horse of the Year Monbet returns and has the right draw to be driven aggressively in the Flying Mile.
If Ricky May elects to go forward early that would put Marcoola and Sunny Ruby behind Monbet and could be the winning of the race so those taking the short odds will hope May pushes the go button early.