Saint Emilion ridden by Matthew Camero. Photo / Getty Images
The slow track at Ellerslie will make it less than perfect conditions to throw out a couple of good things, but there are one or two that stand out as sound each way prospects.
Saint Emilion (No2, R4) has had a break since last racing, but it appears to have
done him good. He beat stablemate Weather With You at the recent Cambridge barrier trials, running a fast 1200m. He is better over more distance than today's 1500m, but in his fresh state he could be difficult to pull back. The 60kg equal topweight does not make it easy, but he seems to carry decent weights well and should be in touch. Stablemate Break My Stride should be a danger even though stepping up in class.
Only six in the first race, but it's still a toughie. Astor (No4, R1) is favourite after his second to Melody Belle on Karaka Million night, but let's face it Melody Belle was in a different class. It was still sound and she rates, but Not Usual Heart (No5) will be a tough opponent. She raced away after leading in her maiden Avondale victory and won a barrier trial before racing on a heavy 10 surface, so today's rain-affected track should not be a bother. Inca Warrior (No3) looked good in wet conditions last preparation. Not an easy contest.
Blue Shadow (No4, R2) was beaten when well back on resuming, but it was not a disappointment. She is classy and underrated and will be fitter this time and for further help, rain affected tracks don't seem to trouble her. Marciano (No2) and Magnum (No1) could run decent races in what is another tough race.
Never easy to win a R65 off the back of a maiden clearance, but there was so much to like about Forever Clever (No4, R3) getting his first win he rates highly despite some useful sorts in the field. Full Of Talent (No6) and Blue Breeze (No2) should be included in multiple bets and Corporate Raider (No3) would be right in the party if he could reproduce his big effort on this track last time.
