NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Sport / Racing

Horse racing: Rain only cloud for Cup favourite

NZ Herald
31 Oct, 2022 08:53 AM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Deauville Legend ridden by Kieran McEvoy during trackwork at Werribee Racecourse on October 21, 2022. Photo / Getty Images.

Deauville Legend ridden by Kieran McEvoy during trackwork at Werribee Racecourse on October 21, 2022. Photo / Getty Images.

The man masterminding favourite Deauville Legend's assault on today's A$8 million Melbourne Cup says a forecast Flemington downpour won't dampen his chances.

If trainer James Ferguson is right, then the English galloper is clearly the horse to beat in the most iconic of Australian horse races.

Deauville Legend has never raced in Australia but his English form is perfect for today's Cup, particularly his last-start demolition job in the Great Voltigeur at York.

On that occasion he thrashed his then stablemate El Bodegon who has since run a slashing third in the Cox Plate on his Australian debut, suggesting Deauville Legend may simply be the best horse in today's Cup.

Deauville Legend fits the perfect profile for a modern-day successful European raider in the Cup, a 3-year-old at home who is rated a 4-year-old in Australia, with enormous staying talent but still relatively unpunished in the handicaps because he has yet to attack the best races.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

His allotted 55kg today is significantly more than former Northern Hemisphere-time 3-year-olds have been asked to carry in the Cup but few of them have come Down Under on the back of a performance as impressive at his last-start stunner.

Perhaps more importantly, he has looked a stronger horse every run this campaign so may be an even more powerful horse today than he was at York, an improvement curve that could take him all the way to the Flemington winner's circle.

With three-time Cup winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy aboard, it gets harder and harder to pick holes in the favourite until you dig into his heavy track stats, or lack of them.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

A wet Flemington is usually welcomed by the Northern Hemisphere trainers but Deauville Legend has no real wet track form but could be about to get some.

Flemington was rated a soft 7 yesterday with rain forecast last night and up to 20mils forecast for today — as well as hail and even thunderstorms.

That would seem to be disadvantageous for Deauville Legend but trainer Ferguson doesn't believe a heavy track will diminish his chances.

"I don't think so, I think he will be fine on a wetter track," says Ferguson.

"I think what you call soft or even heavy here [Australia] is different to how wet our soft tracks are at home.

"And his sister won a heavy track in France over 2800m so I think he will handle it."

For all that vote of confidence, Ferguson and those backing Deauville Legend will probably be like every fashionista at Flemington today: hoping the rain stays away.

If the track gets enough rain to be downgraded to heavy (which means more waterlogged and muddy) then the Cup could become the lottery that stops a nation.

A heavy 3200m is a strength-sapping experience for even the fittest gallopers. Some won't stay the distance on the heavy surface, others simply don't like it.

Then there are those who will love a more level playing field and those less-talented mud monsters get their chance to stamp their muddied hooves on to the Cup's history pages.
The problem is working out who is who.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Some like Knights Order, who won the Sydney Cup on a bottomless heavy track, will love it as too may Montefilia, Stockman, Realm Of Flowers and the Kiwi-bred Smokin' Romans.

That list could be doubled or halved depending how heavy Flemington is, whereas the genuine winning chances on an improved surface are headed by Deauville Legend, Gold Trip and Without A Fight.

The best advice for serious punters?

Wait to see how much rain falls, even right up until the race before the Cup, because this is Melbourne after all and anything short of Noah's Ark floating down the Flemington straight wouldn't surprise.

If the Ark weather doesn't turn up, Deauville gets his chance to become a legend.

MICHAEL GUERIN'S TIPS

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

1: Deauville Legend
2: Gold Trip
3: Without A Fight.
4: Realm Of Flowers

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Racing

Racing

Harness racing rarities: Kiwi trotters take on Aussie challenges

19 Jun 06:00 PM
Racing

'Biggest question mark': Conditions a concern for Grande Gallo

19 Jun 04:59 PM
Racing

NZ's top jockey shines at Royal Ascot with stunning win

18 Jun 06:28 PM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Racing

Harness racing rarities: Kiwi trotters take on Aussie challenges

Harness racing rarities: Kiwi trotters take on Aussie challenges

19 Jun 06:00 PM

American Me, a Canterbury pacer, will be racing at Auckland’s Alexandra Park tonight.

'Biggest question mark': Conditions a concern for Grande Gallo

'Biggest question mark': Conditions a concern for Grande Gallo

19 Jun 04:59 PM
NZ's top jockey shines at Royal Ascot with stunning win

NZ's top jockey shines at Royal Ascot with stunning win

18 Jun 06:28 PM
Ashlee Strawbridge rides Cheap Sav to victory for first career win

Ashlee Strawbridge rides Cheap Sav to victory for first career win

18 Jun 06:44 AM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP