“I almost trialled him on Tuesday to get him fitter and went to next Friday.
“Don’t get me wrong, he is fit enough to win, but I don’t think he is fit enough to be driven hard and win so I’d like to see him tucked in and get one run at them.”
The best version of Republican Party wins tonight’s race at least 5 times out of 10 and if he is eased early but then still finds himself dragged into the one-one later, he will probably win it tonight.
Aiding his cause is the fact that his big gun rivals Akuta (barrier 6) and Merlin (8) are in the same boat and all three could be driven conservatively early and sting punters.
Making their cause even more difficult is the gate speed of rivals like The Lazarus Effect (1), Rubira (3) and Sooner The Bettor (4), the latter one of the fastest beginners in the country.
Trainer Barry Purdon has both Merlin and Sooner The Bettor entered and says he’d like to see junior driver Harrison Orange head forward on Sooner The Bettor and wouldn’t be unhappy to see him stay in front.
Over 1700m with the millionaire pacers likely to be driven cold, that makes Sooner The Bettor at least the best value bet at around $7 if not the best winning chance.
While the Founders Cup contains many of our elite pacers, it has plenty of competition for what might ultimately prove the night’s highlight.
Here is an overview of the other major races:
Race 4, Alabar Classic, $60,000, 2200m: Some very, very good three-year-old pacers here, including Jumal (6) and the only two horses to have beaten him, Allamericanplayer (3) and Freeze Frame (4).
Jumal set the bar very high to start this campaign when he beat The Lazarus Effect fresh up but Freeze Frame was almost as impressive, pushing Better Knuckle Up close here in an open class race last Friday.
And while Allamericanplayer’s last start win was in an easier field, he has already shown his best work can measure up to the southerners.
Jumal may have the widest draw but is super quick off the gate and that could be the deciding factor.
The bet: Jumal to win but his $1.40 no spoil so maybe the multi anchor.
Race 5, Caduceus Club Ladyship Stakes, $70,000, 2200m: This looks All Of Me’s (3) race to lose after she drew significantly better then her main rivals.
Trainer Cran Dalgety warned punters she was vulnerable last Friday and so it proved as she blew out at the 50m mark and Alecto grabbed her.
Tonight she is drawn to run to the lead and Dalgety says she is “bang on” for the Group 2.
The bet: All Of Me is $1.80 as the Box Seat Boost (under Futures on TAB site) and that is great value. Queen Lizzie the best place bet.
Race 6, Majestic Horse Floats Greenlane Cup, $40,000, 1700m: Sees the return of potentially our best trotter in Hillbilly Blues (4) who was wonderful in the back end of 2025.
He has good gate speed and should improve with his trial last Friday so if he runs to the front the big boy probably wins.
But there is gate speed outside him from Belle Neige (6), who is his stablemate so that could be good or bad, while Meant To Be (7) and Bet N Win (8) could add to the early pressure.
Watching that all unfold will be the old marvel Oscar Bonavena (11) who isn’t well suited by the distance but becomes a chance if they go crazy up front.
The bet: Hillbilly Blues the best winning hope so if he gets close to $3, take it.
Michael Guerin wrote his first nationally published racing articles while still in school and started writing about horse racing and the gambling industry for the Herald as a 20-year-old in 1990. He became the Herald’s Racing Editor in 1995 and covers the world’s biggest horse racing carnivals.