The bookies certainly think so, with Lazarus in from $1.90 pre draw to $1.40, while Hectorjayjay blew out from $2.90 to $5.
Lazarus will have plenty of New Zealand buddies around him in the Melton stabling block, with stablemates Vincent and Motu Meteor in heats of the Victoria Derby, as is northern pacer Jack's Legend.
Have Faith In Me, who disgraced himself galloping at Ballarat last Saturday, has been put on the unruly for a free-for-all on Saturday night while Sunny Ruby makes her Australian debut from a good draw in the Dullard Cup, alongside fellow Kiwi mare Quite A Moment.
Meanwhile, Our Waikiki Beach's assault on the Chariots of Fire has turned sour, with the big NZ pacer drawn wide in his final prelude at Menangle on Saturday, paying a remarkable $5 with the Australian TAB after his career-worst performance last Saturday.
He will need at least a top three finish to make the A$200,000 Chariots on February 11.