Can Norris seal the title in Sunday’s sprint?
No. Even if he wins and Piastri and Verstappen finish out of the points that would lift the Briton only 32 points clear, with 50 remaining.
How about after Monday’s Grand Prix?
Norris will fly out of Qatar with the coveted crown in his suitcase if he outscores Piastri and Verstappen by two points over the weekend – giving him a 26pt cushion with only 25 left on the table – irrespective of whether he wins on Sunday or not.
He will also be crowned champion if he wins Monday’s grand prix and outscores Piastri and Verstappen by just one point.
If Piastri or Verstappen were then to win the season-closer with Norris pointless the Briton would claim the crown on countback.
Arriving in Abu Dhabi, the Grand Prix win tally would then be eight for Norris, seven for Piastri and six for Verstappen
Should Piastri win in Abu Dhabi and draw level with Norris’ eight wins the Australian would lose out on second-place finishes – he has three to Norris’ eight currently.
If Verstappen won he would miss out with one race win less than Norris.
Given the stakes, McLaren will be praying after last weekend’s disastrous double disqualification that the old maxim – what happens in Las Vegas stays in Vegas – holds true.