"The title is now definitely in favour of Jorge but I'm sure it will still be a great battle against Dani," Burgess said.
"With five races to go and Casey Stoner out injured it's between these two guys."
Going into tomorrow's Aragon GP in Spain, Lorenzo leads Pedrosa by 38 points with five races remaining.
If Lorenzo is ahead by 25 points or more after the island GP in four weeks, he'll be declared champion before the final event in Valencia.
Lorenzo extended his margin to 38 points after his win in last week's San Marino GP, in which Pedrosa crashed on the first lap.
But the 2010 world champion is aiming to add to his six wins from 13 races as the title fight heads towards a Phillip Island decider.
Pedrosa has won three races.
"The points gap now is a more realistic reflection of the championship so far," said Lorenzo of his battle against Pedrosa.
"With 38 points I can be a little bit more calm, but it's still not enough. I must push and try to keep winning."
If Lorenzo wins just one of the next four events in Spain, Japan, Malaysia and Australia he is virtually assured of the title.
- AAP