That’s by far the most likely outcome, but the fact the Ferns even have a chance is due to their improved batting.
After being routed in their first two games, the Ferns have had strong partnerships in their last two matches, including a snappy 46-run opening stand against Sri Lanka between Bernadine Bezuidenhout and Suzie Bates, before Bates and Amelia Kerr added 110 for the second wicket.
They were aided by woeful Sri Lankan fielding, with Bezuidenhout and Bates both being dropped and also avoiding two seemingly surefire runouts, but Kerr was untroubled as she made her maiden T20 international 50.
Bates also had a milestone with her 25th half-century, and the pair’s 110-run stand came off 83 balls.
With so much of New Zealand’s success predicated on one of their top order batters going big, having two contribute was a luxury, and Bates (56 off 49) and Kerr (66 off 48) saw them reach 162-3.
Sri Lanka were never likely to reach 163, but they had another target to aim for, with 124 needed to keep their net run rate ahead of New Zealand’s and eliminate the Ferns from the Cup.
However, early wickets meant neither was going to happen.
Five bowlers contributed a wicket in the first nine overs, with Kerr’s lbw of skipper Chamari Athapaththu the most pivotal as Sri Lanka slumped to 35-5, before Kerr completed a fine all-round performance with the final wicket as Sri Lanka’s meagre resolve ended on 60.
Now, the White Ferns wait, and hope for a Bangladeshi boilover.