Here's an equation to consider: Hartnell, the hot favourite for today's A$750,000 Makybe Diva Stakes in Melbourne, finished second to Winx in the A$250,000 Warwick Stakes, A$3m Cox Plate, A$250,000 Apollo Stakes and A$4m Queen Elizabeth.
Hartnell also won the A$500,000 Turnbull Stakes, A$200,000 Hill Stakes, A$250,000 Chelmsford Stakes, A$1.5m BMW and A$150,000 Sky High Stakes with no Winx in sight.
If Winx had not been born, Hartnell would have won all seven and we would be saying this is Australia's best since at least Kingston Town four decades earlier and possibly a touch better.
Winx's greatness can be gauged by the fact the winning margins she has beaten Hartnell by are 3.5 lengths, 8 lengths, 2.8 lengths and 5.3 lengths, one of Usain Bolt's strides away from an average of five lengths.
How unbelievable does that make her? We have run out of superlatives to describe what she has done, alone in just in her two appearances this preparation - each one legend-making - but we will need to come up with something if and when she does it again in today's A$500,000 George Main Stakes (7.15NZT) at Randwick.
She is at impossible odds to back, but Hartnell is at $2 in Melbourne and why would he not win. James Cummings has given him an admirable four weeks space since his runaway first-up victory and while he will quickly need more than today's 1600m, he should be fresh enough with Cummings' astute month gap.
You can't buy the entertainment value horses like Winx and Hartnell provide.
At Ruakaka this afternoon, the programme is highly likely to start off as most of the northern track meetings have this year - with a Donna Logan and Chris Gibbs winner. Rockabyebaby (No6, R1) has been progressively impressive in putting three wins together and off 54.5kg there is no reason to suspect she cannot go close again. The sticking point could be Brighton (No2). He ran in all three Group One 1200m and 1400m sprints last summer and acquitted himself well. He has had a first-upper to sharpen him and with a small field and the step to 1400m his get-back, storm-home tactics should be well suited.
If talented Felton Road is to be a factor in the feature race, Ohceedee (No1, R2) should quit maidens here. He has been a work in progress and has improved with every race. His second to Felton Road at Te Rapa suggests he will take plenty of stopping here. Mofara (No2) is talented and The Matrix (No5) is an improver.
Cosmic Storm (No7, R3) is jumping up two grades to R85, but she has ability and with 54kg looks well placed. With the exception of Toorak Tower (No6), the rest are solid, battling stayers. Toorak Tower was disappointing when only third at the last meeting at Ruakaka, but the step up in distance may see an improvement.
Race 4 is tricky, but the pair at the top, Kirkintilloch (No1) and Nothing Trivial (No2) are perhaps the best. Bravo Supremo (No4) is a chance for some of it.
If Hiflyer (No2, R5) is at his best he should win. He is resuming and although the wet weather has forced him to miss barrier trial opportunities, trainer Peter Loch is reasonably confident he has the hugely promising type close to his best. That would be enough to win.
Galaxy Miss (No7) and Volks Lightning (No5) should be very competitive.
Took a massive risk in tipping stablemates Felton Road (No1, R6) and Aim Smart (No3) to possibly put it to the $1.45 favourite Prom Queen (No6) in the big go, but the punting graveyard is full of those that changed their mind. I'm sticking, but common sense tells you the brilliant Prom Queen will be in the first two turning for home and will sprint quickly. Although I'd be much more confident of the Cambridge pair picking her up at Ellerslie, the Ruakaka home straight is short enough to tip the scales heavily in her favour. It should be a wonderful spectacle.
Fast and Furious (No1, R7) could be value each-way. He has to carry his full 59kg topweight, but is the type to go well fresh here.
Mongolian Legend (No4, R8) won too well at Matamata to go past him here where he is up a grade. He could be on the verge of some very good spring form. Local Floating Heart (No6) looks a danger.
After his outstanding third to Winx last start, Chocante will be expected to go close in the A$150,000 Kingston Town Stakes at Randwick. Blake Shinn takes the ride and he should suit the New Zealander.
At Flemington, include former New Zealanders Savile Row and Saracino in your multiple bets in Race 4.
