It's warning that localised flooding and slips are possible, especially where the heaviest cloudbursts occur.
The Gisborne region, already walloped by earlier winter storms, is set to be saturated with more than 100mm of rain to fall by midnight Friday.
The rain, which started falling before lunchtime in the north, is expected to continue until it clears on Saturday.
Niwa modelling shows 127mm is expected to fall in ranges north of Wellington, and 113mm is expected to fall on the East Cape by midnight Friday.
Earlier this year the Tairāwhiti region was plunged into a state of emergency when record rainfall saw widespread flooding that left roads impassable and properties damaged.
Rivers burst their banks and evacuations took place across the region as days of rain led to a level of saturation locals described as "biblical flooding".
The latest heavy rain coincides with the arrival of the spring equinox.
The astronomical phenomenon will take place at 1.03pm tomorrow.
Weatherwatch said it marked the point of longer days and shorter nights.
"The days will continue to get longer up until the longest day of the year, three months from now on December 22nd," said weatherwatch.co.nz.
Meanwhile, next week warmer than average temperatures are expected to sweep across the country, with sub-tropical winds making temperatures feel more like November than September.