NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / New Zealand

What New Zealand’s population looks like as world reaches 8 billion people

RNZ
15 Nov, 2022 05:56 AM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Over five million people call New Zealand home. Photo / NZME

Over five million people call New Zealand home. Photo / NZME

By RNZ

The United Nations estimates that the world’s population will tick over 8 billion some time today.

It’s an enormous number, but how does New Zealand, with its current population of a little over five million people fit into the global picture?

A century of change

Earth’s population growth over the past 100 years has been remarkable, with the 2 billion mark reached just before the Great Depression in 1925.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

At that stage, New Zealand was home to around 1.4 million people.

It took 35 more years for the global population to reach three billion, with each subsequent rise of a billion taking just 10 to 15 years.

Aotearoa’s population also continued to grow, reaching three million in 1973, and four million 30 years later.

Following a period of rapid population growth from 2013, driven by net migration, New Zealand’s population ticked over the five million mark in March of 2020, just as the Covid-19 pandemic began shutting the world down.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It was the fastest million in the country’s history - taking just 17 years to grow from a population of four million people in 2003.

Our 5 million on a planet of 8 billion

The latest provisional numbers available from Stats NZ show New Zealand’s estimated resident population at June 30 was 5,124,100, an increase of 0.06 per cent - or 3300 people - on the previous quarter.

There were slightly fewer males (2,542,800) than females (2,581,200) in the country and the median age of the females was also slightly higher, at 39.1 years, compared with the median male age of 37.0.

Those aged 15-39 were the largest cohort, numbering 1,730,100 people, with the 1,589,500 people aged 40-64 making up the second-largest group.

There were fewer than a million people in each of the age groupings of the youngest and oldest people in the country, with 964,300 aged 0-14 and 840,200 in the 65+ age bracket.

During the year ended June 30, New Zealand’s population grew by 12,700 people - or 0.2 per cent, a number demographer professor Paul Spoonley told RNZ in an interview this month was below the OECD average of 0.6 per cent.

Professor Paul Spoonley of Massey University. Photo / Doug Sherring
Professor Paul Spoonley of Massey University. Photo / Doug Sherring

Notably, all of that growth was attributed to natural increase (births, minus deaths) - a stark contrast to the years 2014 - 2020, when net migration was a significant component of New Zealand’s population growth.

“We’ve still got more births than deaths, and that’s keeping us in the positive territory,” Spoonley said, “but we’re getting down there and the most recent statistics show that we’re only growing at 0.2 per cent at the moment, because we’re seeing that uptick of the net migration loss.”

Prior to the pandemic, New Zealand had one of the highest population growth rates of OECD countries, at 2.1 per cent, Spoonley told RNZ in an earlier interview.

But that growth had “rapidly collapsed” as border closures put the brakes on migration, he said.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Uneven growth across the world

So while the global population may be soaring, the picture is not the same everywhere.

There are no nations in Africa experiencing population decline and just eight countries are projected to be responsible for more than half the world’s population increase by 2050.

Elsewhere, falling fertility rates, combined with low net migration, have already seen some countries’ populations decline.

New Zealand’s birth rate over the pandemic had mirrored what was seen globally, Spoonley told RNZ in June, with births dropping in 2020 but then picking up again in 2021.

However, that rebound did not seem to have changed a longer-term trend of fewer births in Aotearoa, with Spoonley noting the birth rate had not exceeded 60,000 since dropping below that level in 2016.

“It’s hovering around 58-59,000 and I think long-term, this rebound aside, we will see an ongoing decline in the birth rate.”

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

New Zealand’s fertility rate had decreased around 20 per cent in the past decade, to about 1.6 children per woman, Spoonley told The Detail last year, well below the population replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman.

Stats NZ has projected it will take the country longer to hit its next million - somewhere between 20 and 30 years - due to lower projected birth rates and an ageing population.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from New Zealand

New Zealand

Weight loss drug Ozempic/Wegovy is days away for NZ. Everything you need to know

25 Jun 08:03 PM
New ZealandUpdated

Slip blocks highway as heavy rain and gale-force winds lash NZ

25 Jun 08:02 PM
Rugby|school rugby

'I just love rugby': ABs coach Scott Robertson rocks up at First XV tournament

25 Jun 08:00 PM

Kaibosh gets a clean-energy boost in the fight against food waste

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from New Zealand

Weight loss drug Ozempic/Wegovy is days away for NZ. Everything you need to know

Weight loss drug Ozempic/Wegovy is days away for NZ. Everything you need to know

25 Jun 08:03 PM

Wegovy will likely be available in New Zealand from July 1.

Slip blocks highway as heavy rain and gale-force winds lash NZ

Slip blocks highway as heavy rain and gale-force winds lash NZ

25 Jun 08:02 PM
'I just love rugby': ABs coach Scott Robertson rocks up at First XV tournament

'I just love rugby': ABs coach Scott Robertson rocks up at First XV tournament

25 Jun 08:00 PM
Herald NOW: Daily Weather Update: June 26 2025

Herald NOW: Daily Weather Update: June 26 2025

Engage and explore one of the most remote places on Earth in comfort and style
sponsored

Engage and explore one of the most remote places on Earth in comfort and style

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP