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Home / New Zealand

Weather: Wintry blast set to bring snow and 'bitterly cold' temperatures this week

NZ Herald
3 Oct, 2022 10:43 PM7 mins to read

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A brutal polar blast hitting the country today is set to bring sub-zero temperatures feeling as low as -15C, putting people and animals' lives at risk.

Forecaster Niwa has this morning issued a stark warning saying the incoming wintry blast is set to plunge the South Island to freezing levels, with wind chill making it feel anywhere between -5 to -15C.

It says this will threaten a "real hypothermia risk for people and livestock".

🌨🌨🌨

Here's one model's take on where the snow will fall in the coming days.

Wellington City is on a knife edge, if the wind is more southwest then snow is more likely over the eastern hills.

If the wind is more southerly then snow could fall in the CBD Thursday morning. pic.twitter.com/h7Gi2PtzoI

— MetService (@MetService) October 3, 2022

Antarctic blast

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MetService says a sudden "Antarctic blast" is set to chill the country over the next few days, starting with a blast of cold polar air.

The weather at Scott Base in Antarctica yesterday was "atrocious" at -30 deg C and -44 deg C with windchill and the wind reaching 50 knots or 101 kph.

Today the weather is -16deg C with a windchill of -25.9deg C

Antarctica New Zealand's Jamie McGaw shot the video yesterday at Arrival Heights Laboratory near Scott Base.

Canterbury

In Canterbury, the mercury is set to drop a staggering 15-20C within a matter of hours today.

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Road snow warnings were this morning extended across the North Island, with the Desert and Remutaka Hill Rds both expected to be affected by snow showers from tomorrow afternoon.

MetService said 5cm-8cm could settle near the summit of the main eastern route out of the capital from 4pm on Wednesday, while snow showers were expected about higher parts of the Desert Rd where up to 5cm would fall.

Heavy snow watch

A period of heavy snow is expected for the south and east of the South Island as what is tipped to be an intense cold outbreak spreads northwards over the country from this evening through to Thursday.

It will bring unseasonably low snow to the South Island and the lower North Island, the weather authority says.

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"Snow is likely to affect many parts of the South Island and some roads over the lower and central North Island."

A heavy snow watch will be in place in Marlborough south of the Clarence River, the Canterbury High Country and foothills, also North Otago, Central Otago from Alexandra northwards and the Lakes District from Queenstown northwards.

Basic weather arithmetic.

Cold air ➕ brisk wind 🟰 low wind chill.

Here's the effective or 'feel' temperature forecast.

Watch how the light blue (🔵) colouring spreads north with time...and the area that'll have sub-zero feel temps.

Dress in layers for this polar 🐧 blast. pic.twitter.com/6QYFxFd9Kk

— NIWA Weather (@NiwaWeather) October 3, 2022

The watch is in place from 10pm (tonight) until about 8am tomorrow.

People in those areas are told that a brief burst of heavy snow is a possibility and snowfall amounts may approach warning criteria above 400m.

There is also a heavy snow watch in place for the Canterbury coast and Plains - including Christchurch and Banks Peninsula.

Hop on-board the polar express 🚅.

From the belly of the polar region, this surge of cold air will, for a couple days, make it feel like mid-winter 🥶 in Aotearoa NZ.

First stop: Southland around midday Tuesday. pic.twitter.com/mQNOLpfPiq

— NIWA Weather (@NiwaWeather) October 2, 2022

That watch starts from 1am tomorrow until 3pm on Thursday. Again, a brief burst of heavy snow is forecast from the early hours of tomorrow morning between 1am and 8am.

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Locals are also being told that snow amounts may approach warning criteria above 400m.

Southland, Stewart Island, Clutha, Dunedin, Central Otago south of Alexandra, the Lakes District south of Queenstown and Fiordland from Te Ānau are affected by the heavy snowfall watch too.

Puking snow at sea level on Macquarie Island 950km SW of Stewart Island (54.62° S, 158.85° E) as a trough slingshots from the SW corner of the polar low. Currently -1.8C , about 2c less than models projected on the 12z run. pic.twitter.com/cENXE6aybQ

— Hauraki Gulf Weather (@GulfHauraki) October 3, 2022

People in those parts of the country are advised the watch is in place for 38 hours from about 7pm until 9am on Thursday.

Meanwhile, monster waves are expected to hit the west coasts of both islands and Civil Defences are on alert.

Taranaki Civil Defence is warning that the areas between Oakura and Opunake could see swells up to 4.5m tomorrow evening, and combined waves rising to 5m.

'Bitterly cold' temperatures this week

MetService meteorologist John Law said temperatures will drop across the country.

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"We are all going to feel this very cold air when it arrives mid-week.

"While temperatures in the central parts of the South Island will be the coldest, even up in the winterless north we could find temperatures cold enough for a touch of ground frost."

He said daytime temperatures will struggle to break double digits for many parts of the country on Thursday, in particular, with strong south-westerly winds whipping around coastal parts of New Zealand.

"The windchill is going to make it feel colder still."

In Auckland, the coldest nights this week will be Thursday and Friday - with both nights forecast to have overnight temperature lows of 6C.

Wednesday night is not exactly warm either, however, with a temperature low of 8C. Saturday and Sunday have overnight lows of 9C in the City of Sails.

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Here it comes 🥶.

The bubbly, popcorn 🍿 cloud behind the cold front (yellow arrow) indicates very cold air moving over the relatively warmer ocean. pic.twitter.com/BnH9fnRxto

— NIWA Weather (@NiwaWeather) October 3, 2022

Today's forecast

Aucklanders are waking up to a crisp Spring morning, with the temperature measuring just over 12C shortly before 7am.

MetService recommends three layers of clothing today - although a high of 18C is forecast today and an overnight temperature low of 11C.

A partly cloudy day is expected for Northland, Auckland and the Coromandel. There may also be isolated showers.

For those in Waikato to the Kāpiti Coast - including the central high country and Hawke's Bay - conditions are set to be fine or will become fine this morning. Cloud and isolated showers south of Taranaki is the forecast for later this evening.

In the Bay of Plenty and Gisborne, cloudy conditions with a few showers will clear to become a fine afternoon.

People in Wellington, Wairarapa, Nelson and Marlborough are in for a fine day apart from areas of morning cloud and frosts. Buller is in for a few showers.

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Westland and Fiordland can expect cloud to increase. Showers will spread north this morning and will turn to rain in Westland, with heavy falls possible.

Road snowfall warning

Motorists are being advised to keep up-to-date with road snowfall warnings that may affect their travel plans or journey.

MetService is due to issue a road snowfall warning for the Napier-Taupō Rd, Desert Rd, Remutaka Hill Rd, Lewis Pass, Arthur's Pass, Porters Pass, Haast Pass, Lindis Pass, Crown Range Rd, Milford Rd or Dunedin to Waitati Highway whenever there is a likelihood of snow setting on one or more of those roads within the next 24 hours.

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