"Consumers have had a great deal since 2008. They've been very lucky. I think a lot of people didn't realise just how lucky they were."
Cabernet sauvignon and gewurztraminer were the worst hit (down a third from last year) followed by pinot noir (down 25 per cent). Riesling and sauvignon blanc were down around 20 per cent. Chardonnay and merlot varieties were the least-affected (down by 10 per cent).
"The price has to go up, it's inevitable. The bigger the shortage, the bigger the impact," Gregan said.
He added the wine industry had struggled to make a profit during the grape glut - and the correction between supply and demand would be welcome news to wine makers.
Industry experts predicted supermarket chains may look to source cheaper Australian and South American wine.
Rebecca Farmiloe, 32, and her friend Stacey Milne, 31, who were enjoying a glass of wine in the sun at Auckland's Viaduct Harbour yesterday, were disappointed to hear prices would shoot up just as summer swung into gear.
But wine master Bob Campbell said there was an easy solution: stock up on your favourite 2011 vintage and learn to love mature wine. "Some people like young wines, but the majority of people prefer older wine once they try it," he said.
The country's favourite wine, sauvignon blanc, became less acidic and lost its "punchy, fruity" flavour as it aged.
He recommended storing bottles at a cool, consistent temperature, away from the kitchen, which heated up every time the oven was on.
"You can buy storage units for around $50, but under the house works as well."