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Home / New Zealand

Porsche leaves market guessing on VW plan

28 Nov, 2007 10:47 PM4 mins to read

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Porsche is giving nothing away about its plans for Volkswagen.

Porsche is giving nothing away about its plans for Volkswagen.

KEY POINTS:

STUTTGART - German sports car maker Porsche Automobil Holding SE unveiled sharp gains in four-month unit sales and revenue but left investors guessing about its plans for Volkswagen.

Chief Financial Officer Holger Haerter said he expected profits in the 2007/08 fiscal year ending in July to be "very good" after a "very satisfying" performance from August to the end of November.

Porsche shares, up 11 per cent in the last 6 months, jumped 8.2 per cent to 1519 euros ($2950), outpacing a 2.1 per cent gain in the DJ Stoxx European autos index.

"Porsche looks to have options in place to increase its stake in VW to well over 50 per cent at a share price below 70 euros," Swiss bank UBS wrote, adding this implied its VW stake was worth so much that at Porsche's current share price its own core car business was valued at zero.

Chief Executive Wendelin Wiedeking, referring once again to developments at Europe's biggest automaker as a chess game, said opposition from VW's workforce meant visibility remained opaque.

"Even now, none of the players involved knows how many moves will still be required and how long it will take until the game is finally over," he said.

At Porsche's annual media conference Wiedeking went so far as to accuse German trade union IG Metall and the Volkswagen works council of "trying to take out at least a rook or a knight on our side."

VW's labour leaders, for years a major power in the group, fear their influence will shrink dramatically should Porsche expand its nearly 31 per cent stake in Volkswagen to a majority now that a law capping voting rights at VW was overturned.

"It is only together, in a fair partnership among equals with Volkswagen, that we will be able to write a new chapter in the history of industry," Wiedeking said.

Porsche expects revenues to grow by nearly 15 per cent to 2.36 billion euros in the first four months of fiscal 2007/08, it said.

Sales of its four model lines increased even faster than turnover, rising by more than 18 per cent in the period to about 30,700 vehicles thanks almost entirely to higher demand for its revamped Cayenne offroader.

"When looking at the current 2007/08 fiscal year, Porsche is confident that it will be able to emulate the record revenue and sales figures achieved in the past fiscal year," it said in its annual report, reaffirming that its first real surge in growth would come with the four-door Panamera GT launch in 2009.

Porsche said it was more worried than before about foreign exchange rates and forecast the euro could rise as far as $1.60 due mainly to the US subprime crisis and central banks looking to shift currency reserves away from the greenback.

Porsche only publishes detailed accounts on an annual basis, and revealed key details on Wednesday about its underlying performance in the fiscal year that ended in July.

Net liquidity plummeted to 283 million euros from close to 2 billion a year earlier, after it spent 2.68 billion euros to raise its voting stake in VW to 30.6 per cent by the end of July. This brought its overall VW investment to 5.8 billion euros.

In mid-November, Porsche said pretax profit nearly tripled to a record 5.86 billion euros in the year to end-July with the overwhelming bulk of the gains coming from its Volkswagen stake.

Porsche has adroitly used financial derivative contracts to boost profits, first through hedging foreign exchange rates and later its 31 per cent voting stake in VW, leading some to call Porsche a hedge fund with a captive automotive business.

Profits could have risen to even loftier heights had the group not done its best to book them as conservatively as possible, Haerter said, citing the extremely low ratio of development costs capitalised.

Thanks to the strong earnings performance in 2006/07, Wiedeking and the other six management board members received total pay of nearly 113 million euros.

- REUTERS

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