NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Politics

John Armstrong: Labour's two fingers draw the battle lines

NZ Herald
26 Apr, 2013 05:30 PM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

National's laissez-faire stance on power prices has left New Zealanders trapped like laboratory mice in a hopelessly flawed neo-liberal experiment. Cartoon / Guy Body

National's laissez-faire stance on power prices has left New Zealanders trapped like laboratory mice in a hopelessly flawed neo-liberal experiment. Cartoon / Guy Body

Opinion by
Being National-lite won't win the election so spot the difference

In the week or so since it revealed its plan to slash power prices, Labour has bared its teeth in venomous fashion at anyone questioning the wisdom of breaking up the wholesale electricity market just as it is showing signs of functioning as intended.

Labour has not deviated one iota from its line that domestic consumers must get a fair go and price gouging by the five big power generators must end.

The party has been unflinching in the face of criticism that in doing so it is turning back the regulatory clock to an era of unrestrained state intervention which created crippling distortions in the economy.

Labour has been equally unrepentant about the policy's effect on the float of shares in Mighty River Power. It has stuck religiously to its script that people have a choice over whether or not they buy shares, but they do not have a choice as to whether or not to buy electricity.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

In short, Labour has been delivering two-fingered salutes all around - especially to the broking houses queuing up to rubbish the policy, seemingly oblivious to their obvious conflict of interest.

Labour has ample reason for adopting such an aggressive and uncompromising stance. To win next year' s election, it must pick up a substantial chunk of votes on its right and left flanks.

It must jolt those on low incomes and welfare benefits in South Auckland out of non-voting apathy, as well as engineering a switch in support away from John Key and National in the city's mortgage belt and middle class suburbs. The electricity policy is capable of doing both things.

The policy presents a clear alternative. Labour will lose if it fights next year's campaign with the kind of insipid policies it used in 2011.

The classic examples of Labour's tinkering rather than offering a real alternative were the minor changes in tax thresholds at the bottom end of the income scale - which would have cost a lot in terms of foregone revenue but which were too small to have a noticeable effect on people's incomes - plus the silly policy to remove GST on fruit and vegetables.

That ended up damaging the party's credibility far more than it enticed voters to tick Labour's box.

Discover more

Opinion

John Armstrong: Key terrorist warning a 'reality check'

15 Apr 05:30 PM
Opinion

John Armstrong: John Key's ever-changing story

16 Apr 05:30 PM
Opinion

John Armstrong: Wall's bill proves to be a civilised affair

17 Apr 05:30 PM
Opinion

John Armstrong: National gobsmacked at Labour idea

18 Apr 09:30 PM

Where Labour gained credibility, though not necessarily votes, was through policies which involved big structural changes, such as the introduction of a capital gains tax and phasing in a rise in the age of eligibility for national superannuation.

Voters might not have liked a capital gains tax, but they could see the logic in it, whereas the exemption on fruit and vegetables simply opened the door to further weakening of a tax whose value in policy terms lies in its universal application.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Labour must be bold. It will get nowhere being a pale echo of National. Hence its plan to build 100,000 houses over 10 years. Hence its single-buyer proposal to rein in the generating giants and force down power prices to give up to $330 a year in savings for households. Hence the stout defence of that policy. Concede anything to opponents and Labour concedes everything.

Issued in conjunction with an almost identical version produced by the Greens, the policy blunts their ability to siphon off votes on Labour's left.

When it comes to making inroads on the middle ground, Labour is taking much more of a gamble.

National can talk all it likes about Labour taking both a huge step to the left and a leap backwards to a New Zealand of the past. National can quote all the statistics it likes about the actual rate of price rises.

But the public perception, right or wrong, is that National's power reforms of the 1990s have failed to deliver. National could be comfortable about that as long as Labour remained committed to the regulated market model.

Labour's abandoning of that model has suddenly left National isolated on a crucial hip-pocket issue.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The question is whether public unhappiness with ever-rising power bills runs deep enough to offset the secondary effect of the policy - the wiping of hundreds of millions of dollars in value off the "gentailers" and the associated spiking of the partial share float.

Nearly two million New Zealanders are now signed up to KiwiSaver. Those nearing retirement whose funds have invested heavily in Contact Energy will not take kindly to Labour effectively slashing the value of their holding.

Labour's new policy has also undermined the Mighty River Power float, deterring some would-be investors and exposing those who do buy shares to the risk of drops in the share price after the stock has listed.

That would be a disaster for National, possibly crippling the subsequent planned floats of a minority shareholding in Meridian Energy and Genesis Energy and wrecking the centrepiece policy of National's second term.

While Labour would be delighted at any delay forced by its policy, the party risks incurring blame from the voters it is seeking to capture.

But it has a significant advantage in the debate on its policy's merits. It cannot prove the policy will cut prices. But National cannot prove the policy will not work.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

That is because it is just about impossible to explain the workings of the electricity market in a manner easily digested by the public.

National has resorted to simple sloganeering, accusing Labour of coming up with something from the "North Korean school of economics", being guilty of a return to "Soviet-style central planning and nationalisation", or just being "barking mad".

By using such language, National risks sounding shrill. But the language is designed to ghettoise Labour in a long-dead era when interventionist policies came close to wrecking the economy.

This is part of National's strategy to make next year's election a referendum on which party can best be trusted with the management of the economy - a matter of some issue where both parties' private polling has Labour far behind National.

To further marginalise Labour, the Prime Minister seized on his opponents' electricity plan to define the election as a contest between the "centre-right and the far left". In other words, vote Labour and you will get the Greens.

Labour's message may be just as potent, however. National's laissez-faire stance on power prices has left New Zealanders trapped like laboratory mice in a hopelessly flawed neo-liberal experiment. At last, help is on its way.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Debate on this article is now closed.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Politics

Premium
Politics

In pictures: Matariki in Beijing

20 Jun 03:56 AM
New Zealand|politics

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing

Politics

‘Ups and downs’: Xi Jinping's assessment of China-NZ relationship in Luxon meeting

20 Jun 03:03 AM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Politics

Premium
In pictures: Matariki in Beijing

In pictures: Matariki in Beijing

20 Jun 03:56 AM

The Prime Minister celebrated Matariki in China.

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing

‘Ups and downs’: Xi Jinping's assessment of China-NZ relationship in Luxon meeting

‘Ups and downs’: Xi Jinping's assessment of China-NZ relationship in Luxon meeting

20 Jun 03:03 AM
Premium
‘No, it’s not’: Luxon denies new China flight part of Belt and Road Initiative

‘No, it’s not’: Luxon denies new China flight part of Belt and Road Initiative

19 Jun 09:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP