Scientists are now forecasting an 80 percent or more probability of damaging shaking within the aftershock region, including Wellington, in the next 30 days.
GNS said the most likely scenario was aftershocks would continue to decrease in frequency over the next 30 days.
However, aftershocks greater than magnitude 5 would occur from the quake's epicentre near Culverden, right up along the Kaikoura coastline to throughout Wellington.
This included the potential for aftershocks of between 6.0 and 6.9.
Multiple faults were ruptured in last Monday's quake with the earth moving up to 10m along some fault lines.
Two people died as a result of the quake.