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Home / New Zealand

MetService weekend forecast: Warm western centres, rain and thunder risk in north

Samuel Sherry
Journalist·NZ Herald·
16 Jan, 2026 04:00 PM2 mins to read

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Hot weather is expected for Auckland today, with much of the west of the country having similar conditions. Photo / Alex Burton

Hot weather is expected for Auckland today, with much of the west of the country having similar conditions. Photo / Alex Burton

Warm weather and clear skies look set to return for Auckland and much of the North Island tomorrow, but the risk of thunderstorms remains.

Western parts of New Zealand are expected to have drier and warmer conditions than they have recently, with a high of 26C forecast for Auckland, Hamilton and Kaitāia.

MetService expects the morning and afternoon to be mainly fine in the City of Sails tomorrow, but there is a chance of some showers developing in the evening.

On the South Island’s West Coast, the weather is expected to be fairly similar to recent conditions, with Franz Josef, Westport and Nelson all having top temperatures of at least 20C, but there is expected to be some cloud cover in Nelson and Westport.

MetService anticipates a more cloudy day for the eastern side of the country, running all the way up both islands from Southland.

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Christchurch, Timaru, Dunedin and Invercargill are likely to receive some rain in the morning, but this should clear as the day progresses.

Hot weather is expected for Auckland today, with much of the west of the country feeling the same conditions. Photo / Alex Burton
Hot weather is expected for Auckland today, with much of the west of the country feeling the same conditions. Photo / Alex Burton

However, there is a low risk of thunderstorms in the morning about the northwest of the Tasman District and northern Buller as part of unsettled conditions over the northwest of the South Island.

Parts of the North Island are at risk of thunderstorms from midday to midnight, because of daytime heating and surface wind convergence that is expected to produce afternoon showers in more northerly parts.

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Western Bay of Plenty, including including Rotorua, northern Taupō, Waikato, Coromandel Peninsula, as well as Northland, all have a low risk of thunderstorms towards the end of the day.

Moving into Sunday, the weather is expected to stay calm across New Zealand, with some cloudy periods and scattered rain in the east and north of the North Island, according to MetService.

Rain is likely to return at the start of next week, though, as more northern parts of the country can expect showers that turns to more consistent rain on Monday.

Periods of rain are already predicted from Coromandel Peninsula northwards accompanied by showers in the east, Bay of Plenty and Waikato.

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