"We found that population decline in kakapo was not associated with Polynesian arrival, but with the more recent European colonisation," said Laura Bergner, who undertook the research for her Masters at Otago's department of zoology.
While Polynesians hunted kakapo for food and skins, introduction of mammalian predators may have been more important in kakapo decline than hunting.
"It is possible that an earlier impact of Polynesians on kakapo demography may have been eclipsed by the more recent impacts of European colonisation, but examining older kakapo samples, such as those from Maori middens, is required to shed more light on any impacts of Polynesian settlement on kakapo," Bergner said.
"Our results lend support to the current strategy of maintaining predator-free offshore islands for kakapo to live on. Although it was previously known that kakapo exhibit low genetic diversity, understanding how quickly this loss occurred can also help manage what genetic diversity remains."
Dr Robertson said estimates of historical population sizes can give managers accurate conservation targets.
"If we succeed in the ambitious plan of eradicating all introduced mammalian predators from New Zealand by 2050, historical population size estimates could give managers a target for the number of wild kakapo," he said.