NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
    • The Great NZ Road Trip
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • Deloitte Fast 50
    • Generate wealth weekly
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / New Zealand

<i>Colin James:</i> Not enough babies - maybe it's time to emigrate

11 Nov, 2002 07:12 AM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save
    Share this article

Nearly half of us want no more Asian immigrants, say Insight pollsters, and the trend of dislike is steeply up. Winston Peters is on to a winner.

Certainly, he and his senior MPs made a meal of it at the weekend at his party's convention, swamping attempts by some to extend
New Zealand First's appeal beyond the immigration ghetto.

The message: too many Asians will "inexorably change" this country's "unique set of values and beliefs"; Britain went down this route and has been beset by riots; we are headed for separatism and ethnic and religious conflict.

It works a treat. And as long as al Qaeda and suchlike continue their evil work, Peters' catchment is likely to deepen - the more so because education institutions are importing large numbers of ethnic-Chinese students who can easily be mistaken for evidence of "out-of-control" Asian immigration.

To those concerned at this, only Peters stands between us and annihilation.

Actually, he has a point, though not the one he makes most noise with. His telling point is that this country lacks a population policy.

The coalition in which he was Deputy Prime Minister was to have produced one, but he was in it only 20 months.

The underlying issue is not immigration. It is that the locally grown population is shrinking. We are as a nation not making enough babies to keep our numbers up. Pacific Islanders do a sterling job but they are only 7 per cent and cannot make up for the dominant ethnic-Europeans' infecundity.

Why is that a bother? After all, we were at our relative richest 50 years ago with under half the present number.

It is a bother because there will be fewer local-born in the 20-65 age group in 20 years. That means fewer to do the work to pay the pensions of the old, who will become more numerous as the baby boomers retire.

Moreover, large numbers have been emigrating. If this continues, it will cut worker numbers still further.

So to maintain living standards, let alone improve them, we need more people.

One option would be to change public policy to encourage reproduction. We did that in the 1940s and 1950s. But there is no great enthusiasm for it now, despite Labour's cohabitation with United Future to spawn a family commission. Even Peters does not suggest it.

That leaves immigration.

Millions are looking for a home, so just filling the void is no problem. Trouble is, most on offer are not the right sorts.

The emigrants tend to be the brighter and better-skilled from among us. So we need high-talent and high-skilled migrants to replace them.

In bygone times we imported skilled Britons, some of whom, Peters' deputy Peter Brown among them, are now among Peters' most vociferous supporters, defending their better Britain from non-Europeans.

But now there is tough competition for ethnic-Europeans. The Employers and Manufacturers Association (northern) chief executive, Alisdair Thompson, talks of "an international war for talent".

It is a war that is likely to intensify. European imbalances between future workforce numbers and future oldies will be bigger than ours. And Europe is richer. Who wins? What are we left with?

Peters' answer is to build the economy faster so we get richer and keep our native talent.

But how do we get the economy to grow faster if we have a skills deficit?

It is the addition of skills, with innovation, that will lift productivity and make us richer. Just adding volume to the volume industries, such as tourism and pastoralism, will not do that.

Peters' answer is to skill up those who stay. Well, yes. Governments for a decade have agreed and now the private sector is beginning to acknowledge it must muck in, too. Tertiary education tsar Andrew West is aiming to select sectors to focus on which give us a high-wage competitive advantage, not the modest-wage comparative advantage of climate and scenery.

But in any case Peters' answer is circular. It takes time to translate higher skills into a faster economy and meantime many of those with higher skills will have left because the economy isn't growing fast enough.

Which takes us back to immigration. Which gives him a growing constituency. Which he will work on with flair and skill. Which will not help the economy.

It's time to emigrate, don't you think?

* Email Colin James

Further reading
Feature: Immigration

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Save
    Share this article

Latest from New Zealand

New Zealand

NZ Herald Morning News Update | Peters to UN conference in New York, Rain warnings issued for NZ

Watch
19 Sep 08:16 PM
New Zealand

Thief who has been stealing for half his life wants to quit, following $25,000 crime spree

19 Sep 08:00 PM
Kahu

Birthday surprise as Air NZ delivers first full te reo Māori flight

19 Sep 08:00 PM

Sponsored

Kiwi campaign keeps on giving

07 Sep 12:00 PM
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from New Zealand

NZ Herald Morning News Update | Peters to UN conference in New York, Rain warnings issued for NZ
New Zealand

NZ Herald Morning News Update | Peters to UN conference in New York, Rain warnings issued for NZ

NZ Herald Morning News Update | Peters to UN conference in New York, Rain warnings issued for NZ. Russia also violates Estonian airspace sparking fears and responses.

Watch
19 Sep 08:16 PM
Thief who has been stealing for half his life wants to quit, following $25,000 crime spree
New Zealand

Thief who has been stealing for half his life wants to quit, following $25,000 crime spree

19 Sep 08:00 PM
Birthday surprise as Air NZ delivers first full te reo Māori flight
Kahu

Birthday surprise as Air NZ delivers first full te reo Māori flight

19 Sep 08:00 PM


Kiwi campaign keeps on giving
Sponsored

Kiwi campaign keeps on giving

07 Sep 12:00 PM
NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP