KEY POINTS:
In this sneak preview filed from the year 2011, political editor Audrey Young reveals just how far Labour's regeneration could go - eventually
The first job of new Prime Minister Shane Jones will be to choose a Finance Minister, after officiating at the closing ceremony of the 2011 Rugby World Cup.
National and Labour polled virtually the same in the sixth MMP election but talks between incumbent Prime Minister John Key and Maori Party leader Hone Harawira collapsed at the weekend, leaving National with no chance of governing again for a second consecutive term following its landslide of 2008.
Mr Jones yesterday formed Labour's first coalition Government with the Green Party, whose co-leader, Russel Norman, is expected to be made co-Climate Change Minister with David Parker.
Mr Jones and deputy leader Maryan Street held crisis meetings last night with key party figures, including party president and former minister Professor Steve Maharey, to discuss the finance post in a Cabinet that will be very short on experience.
Trevor Mallard, finance spokesman for the past three years in opposition, had been considered a shoo-in. But he consigned himself to the backbench yesterday after threatening a linesman during the New Zealand v Japan semifinal in front of 20 million viewers.
David Cunliffe and Clayton Cosgrove are now tussling for the job.
Several one-term MPs are likely to get ministerial jobs in Mr Jones' Cabinet: former junior diplomat and Wellington Central MP Grant Robertson is tipped to be Foreign Minister; former union boss Andrew Little for Economic Development, former diplomat Phil Lewin for Trade, former aid advocate Phil Twyford for Conservation, Stuart Nash for Commerce and James Caygill for Labour and ACC.
Darren Hughes is expected to get Health, Ms Street Education, Charles Chauvel Attorney-General and Tim Barnett Justice.
Veteran time-server Phil Goff will be made a supernumerary Trade Minister with special responsibility for the Mumbai Trade Round.
Helen Clark declined to comment last night, saying from New York that it was inappropriate for the United Nations Secretary-General to comment on such domestic affairs, even of her own country.
Rating The Cabinet
Helen Clark 7 (7 a year ago)
Prime Minister
As focused as ever, if not more so, in contrast with many of her ministers. But has made a couple of significant bad calls over political management of election spending and child-smacking issues.
Michael Cullen 6 (7)
Finance / Tertiary
Still the flawed genius without whom Clark could not operate effectively but looking a bit tired on it lately.
Jim Anderton 6 (6)
Agriculture / Forestry
Problems in fisheries and forestry. Time this old warhorse slowed down and looked to that grazing paddock beyond the Beehive.
Steve Maharey 6 (7)
Education
His supreme self-confidence should have taken a battering over the 20-hour "free" childcare fiasco and the implementation of NCEA. But it hasn't because he has, well, supreme self-confidence.
Phil Goff 9 (9)
Defence / Trade Negotiations
On top of portfolios, as always. Without Foreign Affairs, he travels less and Labour benefits from his first-rate performance in the House more often.
Annette King 9 (7)
Transport / Police
Increases her value to the Government with each passing crisis. Gets results. Capable manager behind the scenes and in front.
Trevor Mallard 4 (6)
Economic Development / Sport
Where is the sales job on economic transformation? Wins points for audacious Auckland waterfront stadium, but loses more for insulting the most important electorate in the country for failing to agree with him. Valued inside the party but has lost some of his credibility.
Pete Hodgson 4 (4)
Health
People being bumped off waiting lists, Herceptin, the Medlab fiasco, strikes that threaten treatment - none may be exactly his fault but all have happened on his watch. So he gets a little less than the rating he himself gives the health system.
Parekura Horomia 5 (5)
Maori Affairs
A popular minister but with little to claim personally for his six years in the job. If life back on the farm beckons, answer the call.
Mark Burton 2 (2)
Justice / Treaty Negotiations
Clark must be pointing him in the direction of the exit sign next election. Not a single apparent success. Entire Justice portfolio under review. No momentum in Treaty Negotiations. No pay-off for the rates rebate pledge.
Ruth Dyson 5 (5)
Labour / Disability
Competent but has never quite managed to turn it into political capital for her party.
Chris Carter 8 (7)
Conservation / Housing
Has acquired the skill of doing an awful lot with very little, so much so that his stance on whaling is in danger of dominating NZ's relationship with Japan. Mucked up badly on the Whangamata Marina but recovered quickly.
Rick Barker 5 (6)
Civil Defence / Internal Affairs
Not a difficult job to get right but has still made errors.
David Benson-Pope 4 (3)
Social Development
Wrong man for the job but then this portfolio is not as important to Labour as it was in its first two terms. Bring back Maharey. At least he was passionate about it.
Lianne Dalziel 6 (6)
Commerce
Has not had the comeback she should have after her sacking from the Cabinet but then commerce is hardly the portfolio to showcase one's talents. Time for another test.
Damien O'Connor 2 (8)
Corrections
Dear, oh dear. Such high hopes for this popular minister. Has suffered badly from his department's ineptitude but also highlighted some of his own management deficiencies.
Possibly redeemable.
David Cunliffe 8 (8)
Immigration / Communications
Having NZ First on Labour's side means he has not really been tested on Immigration but has handled attacks over Taito Phillip Field adeptly and shown some spine in standing up to telcos.
David Parker 6 (6)
Energy / Climate Change
Policy formation is hard work in this area and this is a minister with attention to detail in a detailed area but the proof will be in the final policy, not the door-stop pile of consultation documents. The bigger test will be his ability to gain cross-party support.
Nanaia Mahuta 5 (6)
Customs / Youth Affairs
One law for all dogs should not be what this minister is best remembered for. She has talent, where is it? Use it, or lose it.
Clayton Cosgrove 8 (7)
Building Issues
Has done remarkably well to impose accountability measures in an industry that had lost the confidence of the people. Under-estimated and under-used.
- HERALD POLITICAL STAFF
