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Home / New Zealand

Covid 19 Delta outbreak: Professor Nick Wilson not surprised with rise in daily case numbers

By Zoe Holland
Social Media and Trending reporter, NZ Herald·NZ Herald·
19 Oct, 2021 04:00 PM5 mins to read

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Auckland has seen a surge in Covid cases with 94 reported today - the highest daily number since the pandemic arrived in this country in March last year. A total of 87 are in Auckland and seven in Waikato.

One Covid-19 expert says he is not surprised by the rise in cases and believes it is now a race between the Delta outbreak and vaccination rates.

On Tuesday New Zealand recorded the largest number of new cases reported in one day since the start of the pandemic, with over half of the cases yet to be linked to the outbreak.

Ninety-four new Covid-19 cases were reported, 87 in Auckland and seven in Waikato. Six of the seven are in Te Awamutu. The tally includes 53 unlinked "mystery cases" so far.

There were 38 people in hospital on Tuesday, including five in ICU or high-dependency units.

Public health professor Nick Wilson believes it is now a race between the Delta outbreak and vaccination rates. Photo / Supplied
Public health professor Nick Wilson believes it is now a race between the Delta outbreak and vaccination rates. Photo / Supplied
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Although the numbers may have come as a shock to many New Zealanders, Professor Nick Wilson isn't surprised.

"This is not too surprising, it will probably continue until the vaccination levels in Auckland really catch up, it's sort of a race between the virus and the vaccination coverage."

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said the cases were a result of "non compliance" of alert level 3 restrictions in Auckland. Social indoor gatherings were a contributing factor to the new cases.

Ardern said she did not want people relying on vaccinations alone at this stage, and rules still need to be followed.

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Although Wilson believes vaccination is the key to bringing the case numbers down, he said the Government should be looking at mandating masks inside all indoors areas, alongside looking at improving ventilation.

"We also really need to tighten the border around Auckland, so that the rest of the country has more times to increase vaccination levels, that border is far too porous," he said.

Wilson said this rise in cases may push the priority for another Super Saturday-like event, as events with free food, live music and more draw people in.

So far 158,522 eligible Aucklanders had not had a first dose of the vaccine. On Tuesday, Ardern urged people to get their second dose also if it has been three weeks since the first.

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Lines outside Super Saturday's Vaxathon at Manurewa Marae. Photo / Sylvie Whinray
Lines outside Super Saturday's Vaxathon at Manurewa Marae. Photo / Sylvie Whinray

"It does look like these big events where there is free food, entertainment, live music and all sort of things does tend to help, so I think there should be serious consideration about giving it another go."

In a time where Auckland and Waikato remain at a high alert level, Immunologist Dr Dianne Sika-Paotonu said there's an unsettling growth in Covid-19 cases.

"We're continuing to see unsettling growth in Covid-19 case numbers reflecting Delta transmission within the community and across the Auckland region with the recent escalation in persistent unlinked mystery cases of unknown origin appearing," she said.

On Tuesday New Zealand recorded 94 new cases of Covid-19. Photo / Mark Mitchell
On Tuesday New Zealand recorded 94 new cases of Covid-19. Photo / Mark Mitchell

However, Sika-Paotonu's message to communities remains to be get vaccinated, get tested and follow the rules.

Māori and Pacific communities have been heavily impacted by the current Delta outbreak and as their vaccination rates remain behind the overall rate, she believes these communities must be prioritised.

"Courage in the face of adversity continues to be demonstrated by our Pacific and Māori communities and respective health workforces, who've been working tirelessly, mobilising and rallying to continue doing the work that's needed to reach some of the hard-to-reach in our communities," Sika-Paotonu said.

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As accessibility continues to be an issues for hard-to-reach communities, Sika-Paotonu believes more vaccination outreach activities and events are needed.

Waiheke Island case

Meanwhile, a Waiheke Island official is questioning why a person who allegedly tested positive for Covid-19 in Auckland was able to travel to the island by ferry is now allowed to isolate at their home.

It follows confirmation that the Hauraki Gulf luxury getaway has recorded its first confirmed case of the Delta outbreak.

Local board chair Cath Handley told RNZ it was "outrageous" that the person travelled to the island on Sunday by ferry from Half Moon Bay before getting their test results back.

She said it raised a lot of questions about whether the person had gone with Covid-19 symptoms and got tested, why they travelled after they got the test, why they came to the island and why they're now allowed to self isolate there.

"There are questions that need to be answered for our community, like how many people are in this particular house, how is this being monitored and who's doing that ... who's supervising this and ensuring this person, who has already travelled from Auckland to Waiheke, what guarantees do we have that this person will not just walk around the community and do some shopping for themselves."

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She was unsure if the person was a resident of Waiheke Island but understood they worked on the North Shore.

No one had yet become infected with Delta on the island but Handley said the positive case was of "great significance" as the community was small and the virus would spread quickly.

However, health authorities say the Covid case is considered low risk.

The Herald has asked the Ministry of Health whether authorities were aware the person had tested positive in Auckland before they boarded the ferry to the island at the weekend, and is awaiting a response.

In a post on Facebook, Waiheke Medical Centre said the case was not detected or tested on the island and did not contract the virus while on the island.

The case travelled via Sea Link on Sunday October 17 from Half Moon Bay to Kennedy Point in their vehicle, the post said.

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"The case went directly to their residence and has had no contact with anyone. There are no locations of interest on Waiheke Island for the community to be concerned about in relation to this case," the post said.

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