Said Adams: "If the weekend hadn't happened it would be just another rainy day but because of the saturated ground it's significant."
He said it looked like up to 40mm could fall overnight on Thursday and MetService and regional council officials were now discussing how best to handle the unfolding situation.
"At the moment we issue warnings for 100mm [of rain] but it's not looking likely to be anywhere near that but it won't take much to create problems," he said.
Any special warnings or watches would be issued closer to Thursday, he said.
Snow was likely to fall on higher parts of Dunedin, Adams said.
Weatherwatch.co.nz said while heavy rain looked focused on the west of the country there was a fairly high chance rain would set back into parts of Otago and Canterbury late on Thursday with a chance of heavy snow on alpine passes.
The brief cold snap would give way to a weekend of fine clear skies and icy cold nights.