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Home / New Zealand

Bill the Builder making a rod for National's back

NZ Herald
3 Jul, 2015 05:00 PM6 mins to read

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Bill English is going to have to conduct what will amount to a fire-sale of state houses. Illustration / Rod Emmerson

Bill English is going to have to conduct what will amount to a fire-sale of state houses. Illustration / Rod Emmerson

Opinion by

Finance Minister fuels claims that privatisation is the Government's end game.

Bill English dropped an almighty bombshell in confirming the possibility that hundreds of the country's state houses could conceivably end up in Australian hands.

In one fell swoop, the Finance Minister provided further ammunition for Opposition claims that his radical shake-up of social housing has as much, if not more to do with privatising the state's housing stock as offering more and better choices for tenants.

In the same breath, he inadvertently resurrected the bogeyman of foreign ownership siphoning off the profits derived from the taxpayer-funded delivery of social services.

If all that was insufficient to give the Prime Minister palpitations, another potentially larger bombshell lurks in the background of this policy debate. At some point it is going to explode. And National will be the party getting splattered.

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English argues - with some validity - that the status quo in public housing is no longer acceptable. That claim ignores the fact that some of the faults in the services offered by Housing New Zealand can be sheeted home to National's downgrading of the state corporation's role. But never mind.

English's grand plan to develop a properly functioning competitive market for the provision of social housing seems to get harder to implement the longer it survives.

English and the Treasury officials spearheading the development of this ever more complicated policy are facing what is an increasingly evident unpleasant truth.

To make this market for social housing work properly, they are going to have to conduct what will amount to a fire-sale of state houses.

They are loath to admit it. But the shifts in their position on the pricing of the state houses which will go on the block point unerringly in that direction.

English's solution for housing the poor requires an as yet unspecified number of "community housing providers" - essentially non-government social agencies like Salvation Army, Habitat for Humanity and Auckland's Monte Cecilia Housing Trust - operating in the market to make it truly competitive.

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However, such organisations comprise only 6 per cent of the rental market for the poor.

National initially tried to grow this sector by offering grants for house-building. But it was a drop in the bucket when it came to challenging the huge monopoly enjoyed by Housing New Zealand, which manages the tenancies of around 68,000 state houses.

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The Government eventually accepted it would have to transfer a chunk of these houses to the community housing providers.

Given that most of those agencies had little capital to fund the purchase of these homes, the rather delicate question of price became paramount.

Not surprisingly the Government, which is looking at divesting between 1000 and 2000 houses over the next six months or so, has been reluctant to reveal much about its thinking on suitable pricing of properties.

However, a discussion document produced by the Treasury last month and targeted at those thinking of entering the market is rather more forthcoming.

The document's shock revelation is that the Government will not be setting the price for the transfers of houses from Housing New Zealand to community housing providers.

The purchase price will be determined by those bidding for a particular batch of homes, subject to "subsequent negotiations".

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The net result will be to drive down prices. According to the website of the Social Housing Unit, a semi-autonomous body within the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, some 43 non-government agencies, housing trusts, iwi-linked organisations and other groups are registered as community housing providers.

The total includes the Salvation Army which opted not to participate in the sell-off despite having an extensive portfolio of properties accommodating the less well-off and the elderly, along with the accompanying managerial experience at a national level.

English needs the likes of the Salvation Army on board because it has the capacity to manage far more tenancies than it has on its books.

In contrast, many of the registered providers will be bidding only on state houses in their locality, thus lessening competitive bidding nationwide.

Government sources argue that it would be impossible to accurately value every property put up for sale to community housing providers because nothing has been attempted on this scale previously.

The Treasury-produced discussion document warns that purchase prices are not expected to reflect the current valuations in Housing New Zealand's accounts. That is the bureaucrat's way of saying the prices realised at what will now be straight auctions of the properties will be markedly lower.

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The document suggests the Crown will be seeking a trade-off which balances "fair and reasonable value" for taxpayers whose money built the houses while ensuring that any purchase is "financially sustainable" for the housing provider.

Most telling of all, however, is that the price paid will be only one criterion in determining whether a provider's bid is accepted. Other relevant factors will include whether the provider is capably managed, the ability to remedy any deferred maintenance and the provider's links within the local community that can be utilised to improve the lives of tenants.

When all this is taken into account, it is understandable why English is reluctant to rule out Horizon Housing, the Queensland charity which provides affordable houses for sale and social houses for rent, being allowed to follow through on its expressed interest in buying up to 500 New Zealand state houses.

But English's embracing of an Australian offer begs a scary question. Scary for the National Party, that is.

What would (or could) the Prime Minister do if a cash-rich Chinese consortium started funding the purchase of a large chunk of state houses?

As long as the consortium was in partnership with a New Zealand-domiciled community housing provider, the answer is not a lot.

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It may be the case - as John Key has intimated - that investing in state houses may not be sufficiently lucrative to attract foreign buyers, given the conditions and constraints which will be a major component of the sales contracts.

With Aucklanders blaming soaring house prices on Asian buyers, however, the last thing National needs is the perception that the same thing is about to happen with publicly-funded housing as in the private property market.

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