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Home / New Zealand

Barry Soper: No enthusiasm for leading Labour so close to poll

Barry Soper
By Barry Soper
Newstalk ZB's senior political correspondent·NZ Herald·
31 Jul, 2017 05:00 PM3 mins to read

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Andrew Little. Photo/Doug Sherring

Andrew Little. Photo/Doug Sherring

Barry Soper
Opinion by Barry Soper
Barry Soper is Newstalk ZB's senior political correspondent
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Andrew Little has got one thing right as he wallows in the political wilderness: No one wants his job.

He's discussed it with a few who might otherwise jump at the opportunity but there's no enthusiasm for leading a party which is polling at 24 per cent just under eight
weeks out from the election.

So as he heads into face his caucus colleagues today, chances of his again emerging as Leader of the Opposition, frequently described as the worst job in politics, are likely to have better than average odds.

Labour's cumbersome leadership rules, where every man and his card-carrying dog decide on the leader, don't apply within a three-month window before an election.

A change in leader now rests only with the caucus, so if they want to get rid of Little, and several of them do, now is their opportunity without a party signoff.

But the leadership Little won by a whisker from Grant Robertson almost three years ago is likely to be with him at least until the election - but not long after it.

Much has been made of Mike Moore taking over the Labour leadership about the same time out from the 1990 election, but his prize was much bigger, the Prime Minister's job. So Little's stuck with it for the time being.

While all this Labour bickering is going on the woman who some would say has kicked the party right where it hurts will be preparing to meet a fraud investigator at the Social Development Ministry.

It seems crime does pay when it comes to politics because since Metiria Turei admitted ripping off the system for several years as a solo mum the Greens have seen their poll rating surge to 15 per cent at Labour's expense.

A miffed Little was moved to say the debate should be about how people on a benefit are forced to live, not about a person or one MP who was on a benefit 20 years ago.

Yeah, well, he clearly misread the left's sympathy vote on that one, just as he's no doubt misread the electorate by admitting he had offered to resign - which sends a pretty clear signal that he's not up to the job.

But while Labour's down in the dumps it'd do well to remember that National, which continues to hang ten on the crest of the popularity wave, bombed out badly in 2002, picking up a meagre 20 per cent of the vote and just 27 of the 120 parliamentary seats.

There was plenty of talk then that the party was about to disintegrate until Don Brash came to the rescue and almost pipped Helen Clark at the post three years later.

The leader who led National to its biggest-ever defeat was, of course, Bill English.

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