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Home / Business

Worsening Iran-US conflict not a 'show stopper' for markets

Jamie Gray
By Jamie Gray
Business Reporter·NZ Herald·
8 Jan, 2020 03:07 AM3 mins to read

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Iran is warning the United States and its allies in the region not to retaliate. In this file photo, President Donald Trump speaks to members of the military in Iraq. Photo/AP

Iran is warning the United States and its allies in the region not to retaliate. In this file photo, President Donald Trump speaks to members of the military in Iraq. Photo/AP

The worsening situation in the Middle East will cause volatility in the short term, but it will not be a "show stopper" for generally strong financial markets here and around the world, a local market commentator says.

Iran struck back at the United States for the killing of a top Iranian general, firing a series of surface-to-surface missiles at an Iraqi air base housing US troops and warning the United States and its allies in the region not to retaliate.

Iran state TV said Tehran had launched "tens" of missiles at Iraq's Ain Assad air base over America's killing of general Qassam Soleimani.

READ MORE:
• Iran launches missile attacks on US bases including Ain Assad in Iraq
• Iran's nuclear negotiator posts response to Donald Trump after airstrikes
• Iran's threat to cut US off from oil
• How Iran could retaliate to US attack

US stock futures initially slumped along with Asian equities and oil prices surged after Iran started an attack on military facilities in Iraq hosting American troops, escalating tensions in the Middle East.

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"It's obviously disconcerting for investors and that's why you have seen a move to more safe haven assets such as US Treasuries, gold, the yen and high risk assets, like equities, go down," Craigs Investment Partners head of private wealth research, Mark Lister, said.

"That's a natural reaction when you see an issue like this arise," he said.

While oil prices did tick up, the rise was not as big as many might have expected, due mostly to the huge increase in oil production in the United States over recent years.

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"What's different to previous oil shocks is that the US is self sufficient in oil and is one of the world's biggest oil producers in its own right," he said.

Lister, noting weakness in sharemarkets here and the world, said stocks were due for selloff after last year's record-breaking run.

"I don't think it's a show stopper. I think that it's something that will utlimately blow over. At this stage, it does not look like something that will develop into a major military conflict," he said.

Nevertheless, he expected to see more volatility in the financial markets over the next few weeks.

Discover more

New Zealand

Iran's embassy calls on NZ to promote peace and security

08 Jan 06:44 AM
Opinion

Duncan Bridgeman: Power in the oil market has shifted

08 Jan 04:00 PM
World

Trump says Iran appears to be 'standing down' after strike

08 Jan 04:56 PM

"Ultimately, it's not going to be a major driver of markets over the medium term," he said.

In New Zealand, the benchmark S&P/NZX50 index was down by 1 per cent at 11,508 late in the afternoon.

The modest decline was put down to the highly defensive nature of the local market, which is dominated by big utiltities and property companies.

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