NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business

Window on NZ economy set to open with the start of the reporting season

Jamie Gray
By Jamie Gray
Business Reporter·NZ Herald·
24 Jan, 2019 06:00 AM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

A window is set to open on how the economy is performing when companies start reporting their six month results. Photo / File

A window is set to open on how the economy is performing when companies start reporting their six month results. Photo / File

A window into the inner workings of the economy will open over the next few weeks when a slew of mostly interim company results hits the market.

Retirement village company Oceania is set to get the ball rolling today with its first-half result, but most of the big guns are due to report their interims in February.

On top of how they fared for the six months to December, companies' individual business outlooks will be keenly examined for clues as to how they are likely to perform for the rest of the year.

Mark Lister, head of private wealth research at Craigs Investment Partners, said first-half results will provide a window into how the economy is doing.

"You can look at all the data points — inflation, GDP, employment and the business surveys — but corporate earnings, in particular the earnings outlook statements, is one of the best leading indicators because it is real-time information," he said.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Analysts expect the season to reflect steady earnings, but with conditions attached.

"I'm still upbeat on the local economy — and most our companies are in reasonable shape," Lister says.

Harbour Asset Management has a positive view on equity market profit growth, given the economy is still expanding, but it says the rate of growth is slowing.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"Overall we will be watching for comments about the risks around slowing revenue growth as a result of softening local and global economic activity," Harbour portfolio manager Shane Solly said.

"Any impact from and how companies are approaching the China-US trade wars and Brexit process may influence near-term earnings expectations."

Investors will be looking for evidence of rising cost pressures, particularly from wages, and whether companies can recover these costs in the form of higher prices.

Then there is the likely impact of possible changes to Government regulations, given the raft of industry reviews covering telecommunications, petrol, dairy and banking that are under way.

Discover more

Business

How $3.5b will be stripped from from our sharemarket this year

06 Jan 04:01 PM
Construction

Fletcher's Three Kings quarry on market for $150m?

08 Jan 08:40 PM
New Zealand

Slow ahead: SkyCity upgrade creates headaches for motorists

10 Jan 06:50 PM
Business

A2 Milk leads NZ shares higher

16 Jan 04:35 AM

The market will be looking at interim results from Contact Energy, Meridian, Mercury and Genesis, to see whether the big power companies have converted a positive generating environment to bottom line profits.

Fletcher Building, which finished last year on a strongly positive note after announcing the sale of its US unit, Formica, for US$840 million ($1.2b), is due to report on February 20.

Solly said the market will want to see how Fletcher's business repositioning is progressing and whether its earnings will be affected by the Australian property downturn.

Then there is the issue of what the company does with its recharged balance sheet, post Formica.

The high-profile a2 Milk will report its first-half result late in February.

The company's revenue for the four months came to $368.4m, up 40.5 per cent over the same period last year, which was at the top end of market expectations.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The company turned in a net profit after tax of $195.7m in the June year, up 116 per cent over the previous years.

A2 Milk said it expected strong revenue growth to continue, but at a slightly more moderate rate than in the first four months.

It's looking like it will be Trade Me's last first-half result before it gets taken over by private equity company Apax.

But the market will still be looking for hints of a cyclical slowing in activity in markets such as vehicles and residential property.

Sky City investors will be looking at New Zealand trading to see if a slowing economy is impacting on international and domestic visitation, how Adelaide is progressing, and if the company looks to make acquisitions.

Results from Summerset, Metlifecare and Oceania will be closely watched as to what a slowing residential market means for them.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"All three stocks have been relatively weak performers in anticipation of a slowing residential market reducing the ability of potential residents to move in to retirement and care villages," Harbour's Solly said.

After downgrading sales forecasts for a softer December quarter, investors will be watching closely to see the impact on retailer Kathmandu's underlying profitability.

What's coming up:

January 25
• Oceania half year

February 11
• Contact Energy half year

February 13
• Sky City half year

February 14
• Skellerup half year

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

February 15
• NZX full year

February 18
• Property for Industry

February 19
• HGH half year
• HBL half year
• PCT half year

February 20
• Fletcher half year
• Meridain half year

February 22
• AIA half year
• Summerset full year

February 25
• Chorus half year
• Freightways half year
• Metlifecare half year

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

February 26
• Comvita half year
• Mercury half year
• Tourism Holdings
• Vistal Group full year

February 27
• PGG Wrightson half year
• TGG Global full year
• Genesis half year
• Trade Me half year

Late February
• A2 Milk expected

March 26
• Kathmandu full year

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Business

Premium
Shares

Market close: Geopolitical tensions keep NZ market flat, US Fed decision looms

18 Jun 06:09 AM
Premium
Business

Fringe Benefit Tax: Should you be paying it if your business owns a ute?

18 Jun 06:00 AM
New Zealand

'Life-changing': International flights return to Hamilton Airport

18 Jun 05:23 AM

Audi offers a sporty spin on city driving with the A3 Sportback and S3 Sportback

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Business

Premium
Market close: Geopolitical tensions keep NZ market flat, US Fed decision looms

Market close: Geopolitical tensions keep NZ market flat, US Fed decision looms

18 Jun 06:09 AM

The S&P/NZX 50 Index closed down 0.10%, falling to 12,627.32.

Premium
Fringe Benefit Tax: Should you be paying it if your business owns a ute?

Fringe Benefit Tax: Should you be paying it if your business owns a ute?

18 Jun 06:00 AM
'Life-changing': International flights return to Hamilton Airport

'Life-changing': International flights return to Hamilton Airport

18 Jun 05:23 AM
Premium
Liam Dann: 'Brick wall' – why tomorrow’s GDP data won’t tell the real story

Liam Dann: 'Brick wall' – why tomorrow’s GDP data won’t tell the real story

18 Jun 05:17 AM
Gold demand soars amid global turmoil
sponsored

Gold demand soars amid global turmoil

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP