Wholesale power prices have climbed again in recent weeks amid cold weather as North Island hydro storage remains low. Meridian Energy is holding back water in its dams on the South Island where storage is also declining. National storage was 22 per cent below average yesterday, according to NZX Energy data.
John Kidd, director at energy research house Enerlytica, said the best-case scenario at Pohokura is that the production decline is only temporary until the company commissions new compression equipment for the field, expected in August.
In the meantime, he said the reduced supply will add to uncertainty in a generation market already wary about winter hydro supplies.
"If the decline is, however, concluded to be of longer-term reservoir performance dimensions then forward-looking estimates of reserves and production could be impacted."
OMV is nearing completion of a two-year project to increase compression capacity at the field. The work is making good progress and will be completed in the third quarter, the company said Friday.