"Across the past decade we have seen the margin available in the sector shrink. From 6.3 per cent in 2003 we are now down below 3 per cent," the NZRA report says.
Consumers have sobered up considerably over the last few years "and, we believe, changed forever", the report notes, citing the following evidence:
- The consumer has lost his/her appetite for debt and is now living much more within their means. There has been a reduction in credit card debt and hire purchase debt (and fewer finance companies to borrow from);
- The consumers have been enticed to improve their savings activity - KiwiSaver;
- The consumer is a little unsure of the future and where everything is heading. Will I need some cover for a rainy day?
"All of this has resulted in a much more risk averse consumer with better managed spending and savings habits," the NZRA says. "They have re-balanced their household balance sheet and in the foreseeable future we will have a more restrained consumer."
But more shopping hours aren't the solution. In fact, less shopping hours could even lift retailers margins. If the shopping frenzy I witnessed after 1pm on ANZAC Day is any guide (and you can see it before and after any of the three-and-a-half shop-free days), rarity creates demand - so let's have more of it.