“The board remains alert to the risk that expectations of ongoing high inflation will contribute to larger increases in both prices and wages, especially given the limited spare capacity in the economy and the still very low rate of unemployment,” it said.
The bank would continue to pay close attention to both the evolution of labour costs and the price-setting behaviour of firms.
“Some further tightening of monetary policy may be required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe, but that will depend upon how the economy and inflation evolve,” the bank said.
The central bank is mandated to achieve an annual inflation rate of 2–3 per cent, on average, over time.
The case for the cash rate staying unchanged was boosted last week when official data showed inflation camel to 5.6 per cent for the year to May - the smallest increase since April last year.
Jamie Gray is an Auckland-based journalist, covering the financial markets and the primary sector. He joined the Herald in 2011.