"For another, and more importantly, the international economy is slowing down faster than we previously thought. That slowdown will in time impact on our strongly performing export sector, and consequently ease inflation pressure."
Dr Brash warned that today's reduction in the interest rate did not mean further reductions were inevitable, as there were still risks that inflation would turn out to be more persistent than projected in today's statement.
"At this stage, we do not know how severe the international slowdown may be, or how long it might last. ... If the slowdown turns out to be relatively brief, or if New Zealand's export prices hold up despite that slowdown, any substantial easing of monetary policy in New Zealand would be quite inappropriate."
Dr Brash noted that there were particular factors within New Zealand that had made the Reserve Bank especially cautious.
"Significant parts of the economy are operating at close to capacity. Fuelled by a still-stimulatory exchange rate and relatively buoyant commodity prices, many companies are stretched."
Links:
Full text: RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement