NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Markets

Stock Takes: Reality check for Allbirds, Rocket Lab

Jamie Gray
By Jamie Gray
Business Reporter·NZ Herald·
10 Mar, 2022 04:00 PM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Allbirds founders Tim Brown (left) and Joey Zwillinger. Photo / Supplied

Allbirds founders Tim Brown (left) and Joey Zwillinger. Photo / Supplied

After a spectacular debut on Nasdaq last November — shares in the Kiwi-originated Allbirds have retreated to more modest levels.

Shares in the company surged more than 80 per cent on the issue price of US$15 each, hitting a high of US$27.55, and valuing the company at nearly US$4 billion on debut.

The stock peaked at US$28.89 soon after its listing but now trades at just US$5.81.

The San Francisco based Allbirds — founded by former All Whites and Phoenix footballer Tim Brown — makes shoes from merino wool, plant based products, and recycled materials.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

They are reportedly worn by high-profile sportspeople, former US president Barack Obama, actor Leonardo DiCaprio, and Silicon Valley entrepreneurs.

The stock weakened further last month after its result for 2021 was poorly received by the market.

Its net loss for the three-month period to December widened to US$10.7 million from US$9.4m a year earlier.

For the 2021 year, Allbirds' revenue came to US$277m, up 27 per cent from 2020. The company has forecast revenue of US$355 to US$365m for the current year.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"We are pleased to report a strong finish to 2021, with Q4 representing our largest revenue quarter on record, headlining financial performance ahead of our guidance targets," said Joey Zwillinger, co-founder and co-CEO.

"Our results reflect strong global demand for the Allbirds brand and best-in-class execution by our teams during a period of ongoing macro challenges," Zwillinger said in a statement.

Allbirds is not the only US-listed company with Kiwi origins to fall from favour.

Return to earth

Shares in aerospace company Rocket Lab last traded at US$8.83, down from last September’s peak of US$20.72.

At its fourth-quarter results briefing, Rocket Lab said its overall forward-bookings for launches and space services had swelled from US$82m at the end of 2020 to US$241m by December 31, 2021, and today stands at US$545m — thanks in large part to a US$143m contract to design and manufacture 17 half-tonne satellites for North American communications network operator GlobalStar.

Despite its fatter contract book, the stock appeared to get caught up in the pullback of the Ukraine crisis and inflation fears.

Market PE back to 2018 levels

The New Zealand share market's price earnings ratio is now back where it was in 2018, despite what was an upbeat reporting season for most.

Jarden, in its coverage of 35 reporting stocks, said its earnings revisions were generally modest and followed an upward trend.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The broker upgraded its full-year 2022 earnings per share forecasts by up to 5 per cent for 15 companies, while downgrading forecasts by up to 5 per cent for five.

For 2023, Jarden's forecasts were more balanced.

"Our revenue and ebitda estimates were comparatively more moderate in percentage terms and mostly positive," Jarden's director, equity research. Adrian Allbon, said in a research note.

"We also note that no companies in our coverage reduced their declared dividend per share versus the previous corresponding period, while 21 companies increased their dividend per share.

"While earnings overall were net positive, prices over recent months have been pressured, with interest rates rising and geopolitical uncertainties elevated," Allbon said.

"However, our analysis does suggest that New Zealand equities have mostly de-rated back to historical levels, with the S&P/NZX 50 trading at a P/E broadly in line with late 2018 (the previous time interest rates were at the current level).

"This transition has proven painful for tech and property names over the month, with gentailers offset by positive news on South Island demand/Tiwai staying.

"Contact was the standout gentailer, although the sector as a whole remains well-positioned to commence newbuild activity, with greater demand certainty," Allbon said.

Across the smaller caps, Skellerup, Heartland and Comvita all delivered on Jarden's estimates "and in our view remain solid investment prospects".

"While we view this reporting season as overall net positive, results have been overshadowed by the general downward rating pressure on the overall market, with interest rates rising and geopolitical uncertainties.

"However, our analysis does suggest that New Zealand equities have de-rated back to historical levels, with the NZX 50 trading at a P/E broadly in line with late 2018 (the previous time interest rates were at the current level."

Allbon told Stock Takes the market was responding to geopolitical events.

"What has been happening across the market is rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty, which have been cratering the ratios of the market and people's risk appetite," he said.

It also appeared that New Zealand was behind other countries in terms of getting back to normal in the wake of Covid-19 and the Omicron variant.

Allbon said quality would win out in times of volatility.

"We are looking for high-quality franchises that have got long-duration growth opportunities and have a good track record for execution," he said.

Allbon puts Fisher and Paykel Healthcare and Mainfreight in that category among the big cap stocks, along with Infratil and Contact Energy.

Shares in F&P Healthcare - which hit a record $36.68 last August, are now back down to where they were in March 2020 - just after the news of the Covid-19 pandemic broke.

Putin's war

Is your KiwiSaver funding Putin's war?

That's the question being asked by Mindful Money — a charity that promotes ethical investment.

"Ensure that your money isn't invested in Russian companies with ties to the Kremlin," Mindful Money says.

It says some funds are invested in state-backed institutions, such as Sberbank, Gazprom and Rosneft, as well as Russian government bonds.

Russian President Vladimir Putin. Photo / AP
Russian President Vladimir Putin. Photo / AP

A number of New Zealand funds have divested recently or are in the process of doing so, Mindful Money says.

Some of the other big Russian names mentioned on Mindful Money's website include Lukoil, Norilsk Nickel, Novatek and Tatneft.

A list of funds and their Russian investments is on Mindful Money's website - mindfulmoney.nz.

Go Bus for NZ Bus?

Australia's largest bus network Kinetic — which owns Christchurch-based Go Bus — is in exclusive talks to buy Next Capital's urban bus line business NZ Bus, the Australian Financial Review (AFR) said.

The paper said the deal would entrench its position as the largest Australasian operator.

The 30-year-old NZ Bus is one of New Zealand's biggest bus operators with more than 700 buses across 13 depots.

The company serves Auckland, Wellington and Tauranga, mostly operating on behalf of local governments.

The sale price is understood to be just north of $400m, the AFR said. Go Bus has 29 depots throughout New Zealand, according to its website.

Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Latest from Markets

Premium
Shares

Market close: NZX 50 down 0.4% as Israel-Iran conflict intensifies

17 Jun 05:48 AM
Premium
Shares

Market close: Tourism Holdings jumps 57.5% on buyout offer

16 Jun 05:55 AM
Premium
Shares

Market close: NZ sharemarket falls as Israel-Iran tensions spike oil prices

13 Jun 06:35 AM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Markets

Premium
Market close: NZX 50 down 0.4% as Israel-Iran conflict intensifies

Market close: NZX 50 down 0.4% as Israel-Iran conflict intensifies

17 Jun 05:48 AM

Infratil rose nearly 4% during an announcement-light day on the bourse.

Premium
Market close: Tourism Holdings jumps 57.5% on buyout offer

Market close: Tourism Holdings jumps 57.5% on buyout offer

16 Jun 05:55 AM
Premium
Market close: NZ sharemarket falls as Israel-Iran tensions spike oil prices

Market close: NZ sharemarket falls as Israel-Iran tensions spike oil prices

13 Jun 06:35 AM
Premium
Stock Takes: Why NZ's largest firms are suddenly ripe for takeover talks

Stock Takes: Why NZ's largest firms are suddenly ripe for takeover talks

12 Jun 09:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP