NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • Deloitte Fast 50
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Markets / Shares

'The day the world changed': Ten years on from global financial crisis experts warn it could happen again

By Victoria Craw
news.com.au·
9 Aug, 2017 07:47 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save
    Share this article
A trader rubs his face as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as stocks tumble. Photo / Getty Images

A trader rubs his face as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as stocks tumble. Photo / Getty Images

By Victoria Craw in Australia

It was August 9, 2007 when Merrill Lynch trader Alexis Stenfors got the call that would change his life.

The young banker was chopping wood in Sweden when a colleague phoned, spouting "crazy" numbers that didn't make sense.

"I wrote down various numbers, prices that he mentioned," Stenfors told news.com.au. Sitting down moments later, he quickly realised: "I hadn't seen anything like it before."

He immediately booked a flight to London and launched himself into two years of work that would leave him physically and emotionally wrecked, disgraced and banned from his job for hiding $456 million worth of losses at the US banking giant.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

While Stenfors didn't know it at the time, August 9 would later be dubbed "the day the world changed" as the start of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

The author of Barometer of Fear - which tells the inside story of the "greatest banking scandal in history" - said his "fairly boring" job trading interest rate swaps became the epicentre of a frenzied trading floor fuelled by rumour and fear.

"A lot of this was about figuring out who could possibly go under. Which bank is in bad shape? How do you figure that out? You rely on hearsay and rumours to an extent," he said.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"We traded billions and trillions with each other and it was impossible to know which banks were exposed to another bank in the whole financial system."

The chaos Stenfors describes cuts to the heart of why some experts believe the crisis took on a "life of its own" so quickly. With no way of knowing who was exposed to how much toxic debt, sources of funding dried up.

By August 9, respected French bank BNP Paribas had frozen A$2.55 billion worth of funds citing an "evaporation of liquidity". Former Northern Rock boss Adam Applegarth called it "the day the world changed" after the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve injected A$113 billion into financial markets and it proved not enough to calm panicked investors.

One month later, Northern Rock suffered its first run on the bank in 150 years as customers queued to get their money out. By September the next year, Lehmann Brothers had declared bankruptcy marking the start of the full blown crisis that would spread throughout the economy.

Discover more

Investment

Buffett on bridge, Bill Gates and a bus ride

04 Aug 10:29 PM
Companies

New Zealand shares rally as election draws closer

07 Aug 07:13 AM
Companies

Spark leads New Zealand sharemarket higher

08 Aug 08:50 AM
Companies

'Fire and fury' hits stocks

08 Aug 08:10 PM

At the time, Stenfors said he "couldn't see the world was going under" and was simply worried about his current trading position. Two years later he was left exhausted after years of waking up to early morning phone calls and suffering from RSI after intense computer training.

In 2010 he cited the "enormous workload and a prolonged lack of holiday" as rationale for hiding his positions which ultimately lost Merrill Lynch more than A$575 million and earned them millions in fines from the Irish financial regulator.

"I was in pain physically, chest pains, weight loss, both mentally and physically," he said about the workplace where weakness was taboo.

"It's an environment where you don't really talk about it that much .... At least then, you didn't talk about weaknesses where you open up and say "I'm a wreck". I think many, many people were. I don't think that was unique."

AMP Capital Chief Economist Shane Oliver also pointed to the lack of transparency and "financial engineering" that saw the crisis take on a "life of its own" in August 2007 when banks had no way of knowing "what subprime skeletons were in the cupboard."

"The whole issue was this combination of financial engineering and a lack of transparency," he said. "Whereas if there had been transparency around who was exposed and who wasn't, I suspect there would have been less of an issue."

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

While Australia famously survived relatively unscathed due to a proactive fiscal stimulus package, low interest rates and demand from China, a recent household income reports shows wage growth has remained stagnant since 2009.

A decade on, governments around the world remain consumed with slashing deficits leading to austerity measures in parts of the UK and Europe. It's also sparked major debate around financial regulation, corporate responsibility and executive pay with questions over whether enough has been done to change the toxic banking culture.

Stenfors said the crisis taught him he had lost his "moral compass" and now advises would-be traders the job is "going to change you as a person". Now an academic, he said "banks were doing something completely different from what they were supposed to do" and recognises his own role in "sustaining and promoting" the environment that led to it.

"Financial markets had become too much about backstabbing, not serving clients, taking too many risks ...[It's] a painful wake up call for how do we put things right again?"

As for whether it could happen again, Oliver is in no doubt regulators and finance workers should be on guard.

"Of course it can happen again. History doesn't repeat but it does rhyme .... There will be another one but it won't quite be the same as the previous one."

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Save
    Share this article

Latest from Shares

Premium
Markets

Market close: NZ stocks end firmer but investors mostly stay on sideline

Premium
Stock takes

Stock Takes: How analysts rated Sky-TV3 deal

Premium
Shares

Market close: Attention goes offshore as New Zealand sharemarket steady


Sponsored

Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Shares

Premium
Premium
Market close: NZ stocks end firmer but investors mostly stay on sideline
Markets

Market close: NZ stocks end firmer but investors mostly stay on sideline

Infratil helped New Zealand's sharemarket end the week on a positive note.

25 Jul 06:42 AM
Premium
Premium
Stock Takes: How analysts rated Sky-TV3 deal
Stock takes

Stock Takes: How analysts rated Sky-TV3 deal

24 Jul 09:00 PM
Premium
Premium
Market close: Attention goes offshore as New Zealand sharemarket steady
Shares

Market close: Attention goes offshore as New Zealand sharemarket steady

24 Jul 05:59 AM


Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky
Sponsored

Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky

06 Jul 09:47 PM
NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP