NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business

Liam Dann: China has real power over economy

Liam Dann
By Liam Dann
Business Editor at Large·NZ Herald·
11 Nov, 2012 04:30 PM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

F&P's Stuart Broadhurst, left, shows Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping around their East Tamaki plant in 2010. Photo / NZPA

F&P's Stuart Broadhurst, left, shows Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping around their East Tamaki plant in 2010. Photo / NZPA

Liam Dann
Opinion by Liam Dann
Liam Dann, Business Editor at Large for New Zealand’s Herald, works as a writer, columnist, radio commentator and as a presenter and producer of videos and podcasts.
Learn more
Decisions made by Chinese Communist Party affect lives of Kiwis just as much as those made on Wall Street.

Right, so last week the US elections, this week the Chinese ones. Well, sort of elections. I think there might be some voting by the elite delegates at the seven-day party Congress that finishes tomorrow.

Either way, it's a bit like the US version in one respect. Lots of pomp and ceremony and it ends in a predictable result.

All the smart money was already pointing to the anointment of F&P Appliances visiting Vice-President Xi Jinping as new General Secretary of the Communist Party. One suspects there was even less margin for error than in the exhaustive US polls.

Xi visited New Zealand in 2010 and was offered a tour of F&P Appliances' East Tamaki Plant. He noted the partnership between F&P and Haier was "of a strategic nature" and the two companies would "share the market and technology".

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The Business Herald reported that, passing through a company staff room, Xi commented that it was "a very good environment".

Whether that was the tick of approval Haier (which is still partially state- controlled) needed we'll never know.

Perhaps if someone had failed to clean up the cheese toasty maker and forgotten to put their coffee mug in the dishwasher F&P would still be locally owned.

But the man about to become the most powerful in China liked the lunch rooms and Haier has gone on to buy the whole company.

Seriously, though, rather unlike Barack Obama, the new leader of the Communist Party will have real power over the domestic economy - and therefore more direct influence on our fortunes.

Outgoing leader Hu JinTao made it pretty clear in his 100-minute departure speech that China's ruling party is not about to relinquish any central control of the economy.

Discover more

Companies

China growth, F P offer help NZ rally

18 Oct 04:30 PM
Opinion

Brian Gaynor: Higher bid price a credit to F&P directors

09 Nov 04:30 PM
World

Obama to go on bonding visit to Asia

09 Nov 04:30 PM
Banking and finance

NZ dollar gains after troika's Greece report

12 Nov 08:15 PM

Why would they want to do that? Just look at the state of the US. Start getting soft on central control and next minute you'll have Qinghai province legalising pot and you'll be begging to the Central committee for approval to deal with the national debt to avoid bankruptcy.

Actually, the Chinese are happy to avoid that debt thing altogether.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

No, the new leader and his elite Politburo Standing Committee will retain the kind of real power that Barack Obama can only dream about.

While the US President is battling to keep the country solvent the new standing committee of the Communist Party will be deciding exactly what the Chinese economic growth rate should be and then implementing policy to make that happen.

Just about the only economic variable over which the Chinese administration has no control is global demand for Chinese goods.

It has enormous control over capital within the country. Forget about printing money, they've already got too much of the stuff.

The country has cash reserves of something like US$3 trillion ($3.6 trillion). That'll buy a lot of cycle ways if they need to create some jobs.

The potential they have to stimulate domestic growth is almost unimaginable and it has not yet been seriously employed as the Chinese Government still has a strong focus on keeping growth in check. If they don't like the cut of that domestic growth's jib, they do something about it.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Last year, when there were concerns about an overheated property market, the state slapped a two-property limit on all mortgage lending. That meant they briefly stopped property development in its tracks for all but those who could afford to build without borrowing. That sort of thing is probably pretty ugly for those in the middle of doing business but you don't hear a lot of complaining.

Kiwi-style hand wringing over the value of the currency and the scope of Government spending is minimised by ensuring you have like-minded thinkers in key positions.

The Organisation Department of the Communist Party of China Central Committee - which appoints personnel - has been described by Richard McGregor in the Financial Times as having the equivalent US power of overseeing "the appointments of US state governors and their deputies; the mayors of big cities; heads of federal regulatory agencies; the chief executives of General Electric, ExxonMobil, Walmart and 50-odd of the remaining largest companies; justices on the Supreme Court; the editors of the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post, the bosses of the television networks and cable stations, the presidents of Yale and Harvard and other big universities and the heads of think-tanks such as the Brookings Institution and the Heritage Foundation."

That is going to speed things up.

There is always a risk that large global forces can catch a small group of key decision-makers off guard, that China's establishment might get it wrong and the economy could get away on them or slump harder than has been preordained. There is also, as Hu JinTao recognised in his speech, the risk that corruption can undermine the system.

But the combination of great wealth and great control makes China unique in the world.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

We can bemoan the lack of free speech and democratic process. We should always do our best to highlight the virtues of the individual freedom our system offers. But whatever we think or do, we shouldn't kid ourselves about having serious influence over political reality in the country we are increasingly relying on for our economic growth.

Given the mess the US banking system has just made for the world, and the lack of democratic process around Western capital markets generally, it isn't necessarily such a clear-cut, black and white moral debate.

Both systems have issues. What is important is for New Zealanders to understand both systems because we are going to keep doing business with both of them. We are more dependent than ever on strong Chinese GDP growth. It underpins the dairy price and the price of hard commodities like coal.

While the US and its fiscal cliff are going to rattle markets and hog headlines for the next few weeks, those with an eye on forecasting the economic weather would do as well to watch closely for the declarations and pronouncements of the new Chinese establishment.

They can be subtle and mysterious but their implications can reach directly to the working lives of New Zealanders every bit as much as the rises and falls of Wall Street.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Business

Premium
Airlines

Pilot group to honour Erebus legacy with safety award

17 Jun 07:00 AM
Premium
Business

The NZ boardrooms where women buck gender pay gap trend

17 Jun 06:00 AM
Premium
Shares

Market close: NZX 50 down 0.4% as Israel-Iran conflict intensifies

17 Jun 05:48 AM

Audi offers a sporty spin on city driving with the A3 Sportback and S3 Sportback

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Business

Premium
Pilot group to honour Erebus legacy with safety award

Pilot group to honour Erebus legacy with safety award

17 Jun 07:00 AM

The industry faces challenges but hopes to bring newcomers and veterans together.

Premium
The NZ boardrooms where women buck gender pay gap trend

The NZ boardrooms where women buck gender pay gap trend

17 Jun 06:00 AM
Premium
Market close: NZX 50 down 0.4% as Israel-Iran conflict intensifies

Market close: NZX 50 down 0.4% as Israel-Iran conflict intensifies

17 Jun 05:48 AM
Median house prices down again, sales taking longer: monthly report

Median house prices down again, sales taking longer: monthly report

17 Jun 05:32 AM
Gold demand soars amid global turmoil
sponsored

Gold demand soars amid global turmoil

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP