NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • Deloitte Fast 50
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Economy

Tobacco tax edges out deflation

NZ Herald
20 Apr, 2015 05:00 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

The increase in the tobacco excise raised the CPI by a third of a percentage point, enough to lift the annual inflation rate to 0.1 per cent, the lowest it has been since 1999. Photo / NZME.

The increase in the tobacco excise raised the CPI by a third of a percentage point, enough to lift the annual inflation rate to 0.1 per cent, the lowest it has been since 1999. Photo / NZME.

Rise in excise duty nudges annual inflation to 0.1 per cent after lower petrol prices see CPI test a 16-year low.

Were it not for the annual increase in the tax on tobacco the consumers price index would have recorded outright deflation for the year to March.

The increase in the tobacco excise raised the CPI by a third of a percentage point, enough to lift the annual inflation rate to 0.1 per cent, the lowest it has been since 1999. It split the difference between the Reserve Bank's forecast of zero and the market's median expectation of 0.2 per cent.

An 11 per cent fall in petrol prices was the main downward contributor.

But even excluding petrol, whose direct effect the central bank will ignore, the annual inflation rate would have been just 1 per cent, the bottom of its target band.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The 11 per cent fall reflects average petrol prices over the quarter. Statistics NZ said that by the end of the quarter prices at the pump were 1.8 per cent higher than the quarterly average.

Economists were struck, however, by how widespread the weakness in inflation pressures is.

The Reserve Bank's preferred measure of core inflation came in at 1.3 per cent, unchanged from December's record low for the series.

Another measure of core inflation, the 10 per cent trimmed mean, which disregards the largest price rises and falls and looks at the 90 per cent of the CPI in between, was just 0.6 per cent higher on an annual basis.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

And of the nearly 700 items in the CPI, 43 per cent - representing just over a third by expenditure weight - fell in price in the March quarter.

"Low annual inflation in the services sector - at 1.4 per cent year on year the lowest since September 2012 - is also an indication that wage pressures remain contained," said ANZ economist Mark Smith.

Construction costs inflation (the price of newly built houses excluding land) in Auckland was 0.7 per cent for the quarter and 5.9 per cent for the year, while nationwide the increases were 0.7 and 5 per cent.

Auckland rents rose 2.6 per cent for the year, marginally stronger than the 2.3 per cent recorded nationwide and suggesting that rental yields do not explain the city's rampant house price inflation.

Discover more

New Zealand|crime

Aggravated robbery at One Tree Point

12 Apr 11:46 PM
New Zealand|crime

Three arrested over store robbery

17 Apr 12:00 PM
Economy

Inflation slumps again - CPI dips 0.3pc

19 Apr 11:00 PM

Westpac economist Michael Gordon said that if there was a note of caution to be struck from the March figures, it was that non-tradeables inflation was stronger than expected - 2.3 per cent versus the Reserve Bank's forecast of 2.1 per cent.

"However, it seems that any substantial price increases are occurring in increasingly isolated pockets, there's certainly no sense that the strong economy is translating through into generalised inflation," Gordon said.

Bank of New Zealand economist Craig Ebert expects the annual inflation rate to pick up marginally to 0.3 per cent in June and September.

"But from there we see it as all onwards and upwards for annual CPI inflation, with it picking up to 2.3 per cent by the September 2016 quarter - that relies on the exchange rate moderating from its present heights."

ASB economists also believe the March 2015 quarter will mark the low for inflation in this cycle, forecasting it to pick up to back over 1 per cent by the end of the year, though that also assumes the US dollar will continue to strengthen.

"Meanwhile, non-tradeable inflation is likely to continue to push higher," said ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"Housing-related inflation will continue to accelerate as housing shortages become more acute in Auckland and competition for construction resources between Auckland and Canterbury escalates. Steady economic growth will continue to reduce the spare capacity that remains in the economy and feed through to stronger domestic inflation pressures outside of housing."

On the up, just

• 0.1% annual inflation rate - lowest since 1999.
• 11% fall in petrol prices the main downward contributor.
• Excluding petrol the rate would have been just 1%.
• 5% construction costs inflation for the year.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Economy

Banking and finance

Commerce Commission dismisses farmers' complaint against banks

Premium
Official Cash Rate

August rate cut 'as close to a done deal as can be the case' - Stephen Toplis

Business

Inflation hits 12-month high, but enough 'comfort' for likely August rate cut


Sponsored

Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Economy

Commerce Commission dismisses farmers' complaint against banks
Banking and finance

Commerce Commission dismisses farmers' complaint against banks

Competition watchdog says Net-Zero Banking Alliance isn't anti-competitive.

21 Jul 04:29 AM
Premium
Premium
August rate cut 'as close to a done deal as can be the case' - Stephen Toplis
Official Cash Rate

August rate cut 'as close to a done deal as can be the case' - Stephen Toplis

21 Jul 04:19 AM
Inflation hits 12-month high, but enough 'comfort' for likely August rate cut
Business

Inflation hits 12-month high, but enough 'comfort' for likely August rate cut

21 Jul 12:06 AM


Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky
Sponsored

Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky

06 Jul 09:47 PM
NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP