NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Economy / Official Cash Rate

Mind the gap: The flaw in Auckland's great house building plans

Liam Dann
By Liam Dann
Business Editor at Large·NZ Herald·
26 Jan, 2017 08:01 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Senior business figures have been fiercely debating whether there is a funding gap in New Zealand's overheated housing market. Photo / Brett Phibbs

Senior business figures have been fiercely debating whether there is a funding gap in New Zealand's overheated housing market. Photo / Brett Phibbs

What is this funding gap people are worrying about?

Well, if we have one, it will be bad news for the Government - which continues to talk up the prospects of new supply coming to the rescue for first-home buyers and others concerned about the overheated housing market.

It's been hot topic among senior business figures for the past few months.

But what does it actually mean?

In short, it's the idea that New Zealand's property sector may lack the capital to build enough houses to meet demand.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

READ MORE:
• Big Read: Building Auckland - who'll come up with the money?

The big Australian banks are widely considered to be taking a more cautious approach to New Zealand property lending.

Meanwhile we don't have a second-tier lending sector on the scale we once did because most of the finance companies went bust last decade.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

So, never mind the political battle over zoning and land supply? You can unlock all the land you like but someone has to actually stump up some money to build on it.

Whether we are actually facing a funding gap is up for debate.

In the past few months the plug has been pulled on some high-profile residential development with rising costs and tighter bank lending criteria taking the blame.

The banks, for the record say there hasn't been any official policy changes. But, at the discretionary margins its seems they are erring on the side of caution.

Discover more

Banking and finance

Building Auckland - who'll pay the bill?

25 Jan 11:15 PM
Official Cash Rate

Biggest surge in building costs since 2005

26 Jan 04:30 AM
Business

It's a good time to be Elon Musk

26 Jan 11:40 PM
Business

MBIE boss David Smol to leave in June

26 Jan 08:45 PM

From a long-term financial stability point of view that's a good thing.

It's a development our Reserve Bank is pleased to see.

The Reserve Bank has voiced concerns that the property market is overheated and is trying to ensure that a crash, if and when it occurs, doesn't take our economy down with it.

It last year imposed tighter loan-to-value-ratio lending restrictions on the banks to mitigate that risk.

And it's telling that in most cases the banks have embraced those rules with little or no dissent.

Or, you could look at it from the point of view of the Australian head offices and their shareholders. New Zealand appears to be in the later stages of a property boom.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

No one knows when it ends but history would suggest we are well over halfway through.

So it doesn't make a lot sense to be increasing exposure.

In fact, why would you maintain a loose lending policy to help enable a building boom that may ultimately end in an oversupply of housing, and big price falls.

If nothing else, it is clear that the cost of borrowing is rising, putting bank margins under pressure.

But for those with a stake in improving housing affordability, nervous banks are the last thing we need if we're hoping to dramatically lift the level of new residential building by another 30 per cent.

Council estimates suggest we need to hit 13,000 new dwellings a year to keep up with population growth. Latest data showed we've just topped 10,000 in the year to November.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Certainly some of the more established developers say they aren't experiencing any issue with their funding at the moment.

On The Economy Hub this week financier James Kellow, from New Zealand Mortgages and Securities - says he is optimistic about the prospect of new builds ultimately catching up with demand.

He believes it is business as usual for those developers with established track records and good long-term relationships with their banks.

And he is optimistic that the level of new dwellings consented will continue to rise.

Still, it seems the funding situation is going to be tight.

We are going to need more capital to get the job done, one way or another.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The political equation is finally balanced too.

Heading into an election where housing promises to be the hottest issue, National needs to be seen to be making progress on affordability.

In the past week Bill English has been quite explicit about his confidence that we'll see supply continue to grow, and that this will balance the market.

That's going to make the potential funding gap a very interesting issue for 2017.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Official Cash Rate

Premium
Opinion

Liam Dann: The upside to this painfully slow economic recovery

21 Jun 05:00 PM
Premium
Official Cash Rate

Reserve Bank blocks media from talk by OCR committee member Prasanna Gai

15 Jun 08:32 PM
Interest rates

Final big bank drops home loan rates after OCR cut

12 Jun 05:52 AM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Official Cash Rate

Premium
Liam Dann: The upside to this painfully slow economic recovery

Liam Dann: The upside to this painfully slow economic recovery

21 Jun 05:00 PM

This recovery is making us sweat, but that might be a good thing in the long run.

Premium
Reserve Bank blocks media from talk by OCR committee member Prasanna Gai

Reserve Bank blocks media from talk by OCR committee member Prasanna Gai

15 Jun 08:32 PM
Final big bank drops home loan rates after OCR cut

Final big bank drops home loan rates after OCR cut

12 Jun 05:52 AM
Premium
Jenée Tibshraeny: RBNZ's lack of transparency erodes its credibility

Jenée Tibshraeny: RBNZ's lack of transparency erodes its credibility

11 Jun 09:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP