NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Economy

Liam Dann: Europe's woes a warning for Key and co

Liam Dann
By Liam Dann
Business Editor at Large·NZ Herald·
27 Apr, 2012 05:30 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Liam Dann
Opinion by Liam Dann
Liam Dann, Business Editor at Large for New Zealand’s Herald, works as a writer, columnist, radio commentator and as a presenter and producer of videos and podcasts.
Learn more

Three events in Europe this week have highlighted the difficulty Western nations are going to have dealing with sovereign debt.

The Dutch Government resigned after it failed to pass a raft of austerity measures.

Right wing French leader Nicolas Sarkozy lost the first round of the French presidential elections to a socialist .

And, in the UK, David Cameron's Tory-led Government has been under attack after fresh figures show the UK economy is back in recession.

There are ominous warning signs in all of this for Finance Minister Bill English and Prime Minister John Key as they continue to stake their political future on balancing the Government books by 2014-2015.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The rebellion of the Northern European public is problematic for the European Union and a major challenge to German Chancellor Angela Merkel's prescription for the debt crisis.

When Greeks riot in the streets it has little impact on markets. The country is so deep in debt not even their Socialist leaders have any scope to say no to austerity measures. But the likes of the Dutch, French and Brits are not so far gone that the debate is dead. They are culturally more conservative anyway and have thus far been supporters of Merkel's approach.

If the public in the north gets cold feet then financial markets are going to be spooked. The Dutch yesterday reached a deal to deliver the budget cuts Brussels requires and it remains to be seen whether Sarkozy will lose the head-to-head Presidential run off with his socialist rival.

But there are signs that the hardline policies are wearing thin four years on from the height of the financial crisis.

A fundamental problem appears to be the incompatibility of austerity and democracy. Unless you've discovered some incredible new revenue stream, getting out of debt tends to require restraints on spending.

Discover more

Opinion

Brian Fallow: Talk won't cheapen our soaring dollar

25 Apr 05:30 PM
Economy

Time to move the OCR? Views split over Bollard's next move

26 Apr 12:30 AM
Official Cash Rate

Bollard's kiwi hint rattles economists

26 Apr 05:30 PM

It's a bitter pill. But telling the public to shut-up and swallow is not much of a political strategy. It might work for a while in a time of crisis but as this economic downturn drags on through the political cycle the public is increasingly at risk of exercising their democratic right to be fickle and self-interested.

Someone somewhere can always make a good case for why their particular corner of the state-funded world should be left alone.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

In Britain, critics on the left have been quick to say "I told you so" and draw the correlation between the Tories fiscally conservative policies and the double dip.

The fact that attacking debt slows economic growth doesn't prove the austerity policy is wrong. It just proves it has short-term consequences - so does most major surgery.

The grand debate - whether austerity or stimulus is better way to negotiate a downturn - will only be resolved by the historians.

What the European experience is proving is that even if politicians have it right they run the risk of being thrown out before the job is done properly. In fact, even if they get far enough along to rebalance these seriously out of kilter economies they may be dumped unceremoniously for their efforts, paving the way for freer-spending rivals on the left to come in and reap the rewards.

That would seem to be the big risk for the National Government right now. Based on the year they have have had so far and their current resilience in the polls, it seems unlikely to be a single controversial issue that will turn voters against them. It will be, as it almost always is, the economy

How long will the public let Bill English keep telling them he is dealing with a crisis? His quest to rebalance the economy and restore the country to sustainable productive economic growth is admirable but in the face of persistent global headwinds it is looking far longer and more painful than anticipated.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Dairy prices are falling, the dollar is still too high and our major trading partner across the Tasman is cutting interest rates as growth slows. Yesterday English reiterated his commitment to curbing Government expenditure.

How many zero budgets can he deliver before the polls flag? If the economy continues to flatline for the rest of the political term then that commitment is going to be seriously tested.

twitter.com/liamdann

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Economy

Premium
Stock takes

Stock Takes: In play - more firms eyed for takeover as economy remains sluggish

19 Jun 09:00 PM
World

Trump's policies are reshaping global financial dynamics

19 Jun 07:44 PM
Premium
Opinion

Matthew Hooton: Unlucky Luxon’s popularity hits new low

19 Jun 05:00 PM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Economy

Premium
Stock Takes: In play - more firms eyed for takeover as economy remains sluggish

Stock Takes: In play - more firms eyed for takeover as economy remains sluggish

19 Jun 09:00 PM

BGH's tilt at Tourism Holdings has sparked more merger and acquisition speculation.

Trump's policies are reshaping global financial dynamics

Trump's policies are reshaping global financial dynamics

19 Jun 07:44 PM
Premium
Matthew Hooton: Unlucky Luxon’s popularity hits new low

Matthew Hooton: Unlucky Luxon’s popularity hits new low

19 Jun 05:00 PM
Stronger-than-expected GDP signals no rate cut in July

Stronger-than-expected GDP signals no rate cut in July

19 Jun 02:01 AM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP