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Home / Business / Economy

Branko Milanovic: Davos forum this week needs reminding of growing inequality

By Branko Milanovic
NZ Herald·
22 Jan, 2018 04:00 PM4 mins to read

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Growth has not been benefiting everyone equally however. Photo / 123RF

Growth has not been benefiting everyone equally however. Photo / 123RF

Opinion

• Branko Milanović is an economist who specialises in development and inequality. He is currently Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center.

As the world's richest and most powerful individuals gather at the World Economic Forum in Davos this week, we find ourselves talking about economic inequality again. New figures from Oxfam show the richest 1 per cent of Kiwis bagged 28 per cent of all wealth created last year while the 1.4 million people who make up the poorest 30 per cent of the population barely got 1 per cent.

Two Kiwi men still own the same wealth as the poorest 30 per cent of the country.

Globally, the world's billionaires increased their fortunes by US$762 billion in just 12 months, enough to end extreme poverty seven times over.

Oxfam uses Credit Suisse data to show that 82 per cent of new global wealth created last year went to the top 1 per cent of wealthy people in the world while the poorest half of the world got nothing.

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This is a long-term problem – the World Inequality Report reveals that, since 1980, the world's richest 0.1 per cent have increased their wealth by the same amount as the 3.7 billion people who make up the poorest half of the world's population.

Before we look in more depth at these rather gloomy figures, let's pause for some slightly more cheerful news. Income inequality between countries is decreasing. This has been driven over recent decades by the rise in incomes in the world's big emerging economies – China first, and then India – bringing average incomes in those countries closer to those of the rich world. This has coincided with a sharp decline in extreme poverty rates in those countries, and is something to be celebrated.

Growth has not been benefiting everyone equally however. Income inequality within countries is at worryingly high levels and, in many countries, it is still rising.

Our measurement of this is largely based on data from household surveys but we know these tend to underestimate the income of those at the top of the income distribution ladder. Working with economists at the World Bank, I have recently tried to provide more realistic estimates for the incomes of the richest 10 per cent in each country.

We have been able to show that global income inequality is almost certainly higher than previously thought, and would be even higher if we could factor in the significant tax avoidance of the richest. We also know that wealth inequality is even more extreme in every country for which we have reliable data.

Discover more

Economy

Richest 1% bag 28% of NZ's wealth

21 Jan 11:01 AM
New Zealand

Billionaire created every two days - Oxfam

22 Jan 12:01 AM

Unfortunately it is this within-country inequality that negatively impacts our economies and our societies. There is now a substantial body of evidence that high levels of inequality are bad for economic growth – for most of us anyway.

Interestingly, a study of US income distribution over the past 50 years shows higher levels of inequality seem to be economically beneficial for the rich, who are often able to translate their disproportionate control of resources into disproportionate influence over political and economic decision making. This can lead to policies that are geared towards their interests, often at the expense of the majority.

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This is deeply concerning and it is why we need policy actions to check the increase: inequality will not go down by itself.

So why is this happening? I have already mentioned the capture of political and economic systems by plutocrats. Tax cuts for the rich, tax avoidance and evasion, financial deregulation, and the prioritisation of returns to shareholders and owners by large companies, have all helped the rich get richer while the poor and the middle-classes are left behind.

This adds to long-standing social inequalities. It is no coincidence men are over-represented at the top of the pyramid and women are over-represented in the world's lowest paid and most precarious jobs.

To return to some good news. None of this is inevitable. Oxfam's report includes a long list of recommendations for both governments and businesses — from the establishment of a minimum wage that ensures workers have a decent standard of living to limits on the returns paid out to shareholders and top executives — that would help to reverse these trends.

Historical trends show us government action can lead to significant shifts in inequality levels. This is why we saw such a large decrease in inequality in Europe and America after the Second World War, for example, and why we've seen it increasing again in those regions since about 1980. It's time for another dramatic shift. The opportunity is there, and the need could not be more pressing.

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