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Home / Business / Companies / Energy

<i>Oil:</i> Price falls as stocks weigh, Opec eyes cuts

By Matthew Robinson
8 Dec, 2006 09:18 PM3 mins to read

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KEY POINTS:

NEW YORK - Oil fell on Friday as ample US stockpiles countered concerns Opec could cut production again as the world's top energy consumer heads into winter.

US crude settled down 46 cents at US$62.03 a barrel after surging as high as US$63.65 during intraday activity. London Brent
crude fell 37 cents to US$62.20 a barrel.

Bulging oil inventories have pushed crude prices from record highs over US$78 a barrel in July, with US stocks near peaks not reached since 1991 ahead of winter.

But high consumer nation stocks have prompted some Opec members to call for production cuts. Opec President Edmund Daukoru said on Friday he wanted the group to trim output when it meets on Dec. 14, deepening a 1.2 million barrel per day cut agreed upon in October.

"I favor a cut," Daukoru told reporters in Abuja. "The market is still soft ... I'm not comfortable."

"We hope that if we moderate supply a bit, if we don't flood the market, some mop up will take place as winter really kicks in," he added.

A senior Opec delegate earlier on Friday told Reuters that there was a "strong possibility" the group would trim output further to bring down high global inventories.

"Everybody knows that stock levels are higher than they should be," he said.

Friday's price swing came amid wider volatility across several markets.

"There was volatility in a number of markets, commodities, forex and bonds," said Bill O'Grady, analyst at A.G. Edwards. "It was a vicious, volatile market all the way around."

US Energy Secretary Sam Bodman said on Friday Opec should not reduce output at its next meeting.

"I don't agree with that," Bodman said, referring to Daukoru's comments, adding Opec should "continue to keep markets well-supplied."

Ken Hasegawa, a manager at Japan's Himawari CX, said Opec needed to cut at least 500,000 barrels per day to maintain the current price level.

"I think Opec will cut production to support prices till the second quarter of 2007. The supply side is too strong right now," he said.

But some analysts believe Opec will refrain from taking action next week as the market has yet to fully absorb its last cut, initiated on Nov. 1.

"My guess is they won't do anything. If you consider there has only been five weeks since the last cut, it's a bit early to judge the effects," said ABN AMRO analyst Geoff Pyne.

The market also found support from a sharp fall in the Brent loading schedule for January.

The Shell-operated Brent crude oil stream was scheduled to load 139,000 barrels per day in January, down nearly half from the previous month's 268,000 bpd.

Traders attributed the decline to poor production and demand for January cargoes.

In Opec member Nigeria, a militant group which has crippled Nigeria's oil industry threatened new attacks on Friday and claimed responsibility for a Thursday raid on an export terminal.

- REUTERS

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