Mercury announced during the quarter that its 2021 hydro generation forecast reduced by 200GWh to 3700GWh, more than 300GWh below average.
The company's geothermal generation was stable.
Dry weather affected both the North and South Islands, resulting in national hydro storage tracking more than 500GWh below average until late September before lifting due to South Island rainfall, ending the quarter at 172GWh below average, Mercury said.
This was reflected in the average spot price for the quarter reaching a record of $136/MWh at Ōtāhuhu, increasing from $125/MWh in the prior comparable period.
Full year 2021 futures prices also reflected current dry hydrological conditions, increasing from $114/MWh at Ōtāhuhu and $104/MWh at Benmore at the start of the quarter to $122/MWh and $111/MWh respectively.
Longer-term futures prices increased during the quarter as the market appeared to speculate on the likelihood of the Tiwai Point smelter operation being extended beyond its announced closure, due to take place in August 2021.