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Home / Business / Companies

Earnings drop predicted for BHP

AAP
17 Feb, 2013 04:30 PM2 mins to read

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BHP's diversification makes it less exposed to iron ore's earnings than Rio Tinto or Fortescue Metals. Photo / AP

BHP's diversification makes it less exposed to iron ore's earnings than Rio Tinto or Fortescue Metals. Photo / AP

Resources giant BHP Billiton is expected to post a third consecutive profit fall on Wednesday, largely because of last year's huge slump in iron ore prices.

Consensus estimates among analysts for the December 2012 half-year are for a net profit (excluding exceptional items) of US$5.69 billion ($6.7 billion).

That represents a 43 per cent fall from US$9.9 billion for the December 2011 half, which was a 5.5 per cent fall.

However, the commodity's price has jumped almost 80 per cent to US$150 a tonne since last September's low of US$87. Analysts are predicting underlying earnings before interest and tax (ebit) of US$9.52 billion, a 40 per cent fall from US$15.7 billion for the previous corresponding period.

However, dividend payments are tipped to increase to US57c a share from US55c, in a nod to calls by shareholders to invest less and return more to them.

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BHP's diversification makes it less exposed to iron ore's earnings than Rio Tinto or Fortescue Metals.

Morningstar equities analyst Mark Taylor is predicting a 38 per cent drop in iron ore ebit from US$7.9 billion to US$4.9 billion. "We are expecting some improvement in copper, there has been a turnaround with high grades starting to feature again after a period of a few years of low-grade ore."

-AAP

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