The S&P 500 has ended the earnings season higher 75 per cent of the time when Alcoa shares gain in the session after reporting its results, Bloomberg News reported, citing a Bespoke Investment Group study of 34 quarters going back to 2003.
Investors' expectations for corporate results have certainly been lowered in the past few months as the struggle to combat Europe's fiscal crisis remains a threat to growth worldwide.
"Earnings don't have to knock the ball out of the park to push equities higher," Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Chicago-based Harris Private Bank, told Bloomberg. "Expectations are low. If earnings growth can just hold the line on margins, we'll have a successful year in stocks."
Some have clearly been impacted by concern about the global economic outlook. Shares of Tiffany tanked after the luxury jewellery retailer slashed its annual earnings forecast because of disappointing sales growth. Sales in November and December rose about 7 per cent, down from 11 per cent in the same period a year earlier.
Wall Street's biggest firms such as Credit Suisse Group are considering freezing compensation levels for some junior bankers, Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the deliberations.
In Europe, Chancellor Angela Merkel and International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde will meet in Berlin tonight amid intensifying pressure to complete a Greek debt swap that will give the struggling nation access to a second bail-out package.
However, hedge funds are dragging their feet as they either prefer letting Greece default, which would trigger the credit insurance they have bought, or hope to get paid out in full if enough others sign up, according to Reuters.
"The play is purely 'they'll be forced to pay me'. Greece will want to avoid a wider default, so if it managed to restructure 80 per cent of the deal and pay the rest that's still better," Gabriel Sterne at securities firm Exotix told Reuters.